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MLB Home Run Picks Today: Predictions, Props for Padres vs Brewers, Braves vs Dodgers for Sunday, October 4

MLB Home Run Picks Today: Predictions, Props for Padres vs Brewers, Braves vs Dodgers for Sunday, October 4 article feature image
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Troy Taormina-Imagn Images. Pictured: Braves 1B Matt Olson

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For Sunday's Division Series games, I'm bringing you three bangers across both National League matchups: Padres vs. Brewers and Braves vs. Dodgers.

Read on for my 3 MLB Home Run Picks Today.


MLB Home Run Picks Today

In the table below, you'll find each of Grant Neiffer's top home run prop picks from today's slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article, and download the Action Network app for more picks and analysis.

GameTime (ET)Pick
San Diego Padres LogoMilwaukee Brewers Logo
4:00 PM
San Diego Padres LogoMilwaukee Brewers Logo
4:00 PM
Atlanta Braves LogoLos Angeles Dodgers Logo
8:00 PM
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

Padres vs Brewers Prediction, Pick

San Diego Padres Logo
Sunday, Oct. 4
4:00 PM ET
FS1
Milwaukee Brewers Logo
Manny Machado Home Run
FanDuel Logo

Logan Henderson is a great pitcher, but the Brewers starter has allowed a slightly below-average 1.06 HR/9 this season, and with his 46.6% fly-ball rate, he grades out as a plus matchup for righty power.

Manny Machado still has some great pop, and I have his true odds at around +430.

Pick: Manny Machado Home Run



Padres vs Brewers Prediction, Pick

San Diego Padres Logo
Sunday, Oct. 4
4:00 PM ET
FS1
Milwaukee Brewers Logo
Fernando Tatis Jr. Home Run
bet365 Logo

The spot here is a tough one overall, but it's not a bad one for homers.

The ballpark is a big upgrade for power, and Fernando Tatis has been hammering the ball since the All-Star Break.

I have the true odds on the Padres RF at around +380.

Pick: Fernando Tatis Home Run



Braves vs Dodgers Prediction, Pick

Atlanta Braves Logo
Sunday, Oct. 4
8:00 PM ET
FS1
Los Angeles Dodgers Logo
Matt Olson Home Run
FanDuel Logo

The spot isn't great, but the odds more than make up for it.

We haven't seen a ton of Dodgers SP Blake Snell this season, and he's a tough matchup for lefty power, but he grades out as a reverse-splits pitcher and can allow some power to lefties.

Matt Olson is one of the best home run hitters in the league, and I have the true odds for the Braves 1B at around +420

Pick: Matt Olson Home Run



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About the Author
Grant Neiffer • Verified Action Expert

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