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ALDS Home Run Projections: 5 Elite Betting Model Edges

ALDS Home Run Projections: 5 Elite Betting Model Edges article feature image
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Chicago White Sox shortstop Colson Montgomery (12). Credit: Matt Marton-Imagn Images-Reuters

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The ALDS is here, and so is another loaded home run board.

Action PRO home run projections are in for Saturday, and the model is pointing bettors straight to the best plus-money edges on the slate.

Hitters sitting at +320, +370, +440 (x2), and +460 are the sharpest picks to lock in for the October 3rd playoff card.

Below are the best PRO home run projections and biggest edges for Saturday’s ALDS.


5 High-Level MLB Home Run Picks for Saturday's ALDS

Our MLB experts use data-driven models that compare projected home run probabilities, individual player performance, and current odds to identify where the market may be missing the mark.

And if you’re looking for a little recent proof, last Tuesday’s picks delivered, with home runs from Ben Rice and Manny Machado.

With four games on the board today, I'd say there's value everywhere, but that's not the case. Bettors should actually pass on one game in particular.

Meanwhile, one matchup offers three home run selections in the same game, and they all fall on players on the same team!

Best White Sox vs. Guardians Home Run Picks

The best bang for your buck in the early game is none other than