Happy Dinger Tuesday!
Read on for my four favorite Home Run Picks Today, including picks for Pete Alonso and Pete Crow-Armstrong for Tuesday, August 25.
MLB Home Run Picks Today
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 7:07 PM | |
  | 7:45 PM | |
  | 9:40 PM | |
  | 9:40 PM | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Royals vs Blue Jays
At this point in his career, Max Scherzer is one of the worst pitchers in the league and one of the best matchups in the league for power. This season, Scherzer has allowed a massive 2.33 HR/9 to lefties and a 2.50 HR/9 to righties.
This ballpark is a big upgrade for power for the Royals, as it ranks in the top 10 for both lefty and righty power.
I have the true odds here around +420, making this a great bet.
Pick: Bobby Witt Jr. Home Run
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Orioles vs Cardinals
This spot is above average, and given Big Meat Pete's recent form, these odds are a bit too high.
Matthew Liberatore has struggled this season with power, allowing a 1.30 HR/9 to righties.
This ballpark is a downgrade for power for Alonso, but he has been one of the best hitters in the league recently.
I have the true odds here around +350, making this a great bet.
Pick: Pete Alonso Home Run
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Phillies vs Mariners
Aaron Nola is a shell of the pitcher that he used to be, and he's been absolutely crushed by power this season. Nola has allowed a massive 2.15 HR/9 to righty power this season, and although he's due for some positive regression, he grades out as a plus matchup for righty power.
J-Rod has been having an off year, but the power is still there.
I have the true odds here around +470, making this a great bet.
Pick: Julio Rodriguez Home Run
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Cubs vs Diamondbacks
The spot here is a plus one, and the odds are a bit too high on PCA. PCA has been one of the hottest hitters in the league recently, and Pfaadt has been a plus matchup for lefty power, allowing a large 1.65 HR/9.
I have the true odds on PCA around +350, making this a great EV bet.
Pick: Pete Crow-Armstrong Home Run
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