We have a short 9-game slate on Thursday, but still enough to offer you some bangers for early afternoon and tonight.
Here are my three favorite MLB Home Run Picks Today.
MLB Home Run Picks Today
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 12:10 PM | |
  | 7:10 PM | |
  | 7:10 PM | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Editor's Note: A home run parlay is not the author's formal recommendation. These home run picks have value as straight bets.
Royals vs Rays Prediction, Pick
While Royals SP Seth Lugo was one of the best matchups in the league last season for lefty power, he's been great this season vs. lefties, but he has struggled heavily with righty power (1.39 HR/9).
Junior Caminero is one of the best home run hitters in the league, and I have the true odds for the Rays 3B around +300, making this a great bet.
Pick: Junior Caminero Home Run
| | |
Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction, Pick
I don't generally pay attention to splits for hitters too much, but Paul Goldschmidt has been incredible vs. LHP for a while.
Red Sox starter Connelly Early has been a gas can for righty power this season, allowing a 1.53 HR/9. The weather should be a big plus for hitting, with temperatures around 80 degrees and wind blowing out at 6 mph.
I have the true odds for the Yankees 1B around +400.
Pick: Paul Goldschmidt Home Run
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Cubs vs Mets Prediction, Pick
The lefties for the Cubs get a good spot, and these odds are far too high. The weather should be a plus for hitting, with temps in the low-80s and wind blowing out to left field at 14 mph.
Mets SP Freddy Peralta has been absolutely crushed by lefty power this season, allowing a 1.76 HR/9.
I have the true odds here for the Cubs' Ian Happ around +400, making this a great bet.
Pick: Ian Happ Home Run
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