For Sunday, September 7, I'm on four MLB home run props: Colson Montgomery, Jazz Chisholm, Pete Alonso, and Shea Langeliers.
Continue below for my MLB home run prop bets and HR parlay for Sunday.
MLB Home Run Props, Picks, Odds — Sunday, September 7
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 2:20 p.m. | |
| 7:05 p.m. | |
| 7:05 p.m. | |
| 4:07 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
MLB Home Run Picks for September 7
Colson Montgomery (+525)
at Tigers (SP: RHP Charlie Morton)
Colson has been one of the hottest hitters in baseball since the All-Star break, and today’s matchup sets up perfectly. He faces Charlie Morton, a pitcher who profiles as a plus matchup for home run props. I project the true odds on Colson closer to +425, giving bettors strong positive EV value in this spot.
Jazz Chisholm (+350)
vs Blue Jays (SP: RHP Max Scherzer)
The market is undervaluing Yankees left-handed bats today. Max Scherzer has struggled badly against lefty power this season, allowing a massive 2.35 HR/9.
Combine that with one of the best ballparks in baseball for left-handed home runs, and the setup is ideal. I project the true odds on Jazz closer to +300, making this one of the best MLB betting values on the board with strong positive EV.
Pete Alonso (+360)
at Reds (SP: RHP Hunter Greene)
Hunter Greene has been strong this season, but the pricing on Pete Alonso is simply too generous today. Despite Greene’s overall effectiveness, his profile remains a favorable matchup for right-handed power bats.
Add in the ballpark boost for righty hitters, and Alonso — one of the premier sluggers in MLB — is in a prime spot. I project his true odds below +300, which makes this a high-value MLB prop bet with strong positive expected value.
Shea Langeliers (+290)
at Angels (SP: LHP Mitch Farris)
Hammering the Athletics’ right-handed bats today. Hitting conditions in Los Angeles are ideal, and the matchup sets up perfectly. While we don’t have a large sample on Farris, his profile grades out as a strong matchup for right-handed power hitters.
I project true odds on Shea closer to +225, which creates significant positive expected value and makes this one of the best MLB prop bets on the board.
