For Thursday, August 7, I'm on 3 MLB home run props: Oneil Cruz, Agustin Ramirez and Kyle Stowers.
Continue below for my MLB home run prop bets and HR parlay for Thursday.
MLB Home Run Props, Picks, Odds — Thursday, August 7
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 6:40 p.m. | |
| 7:15 p.m. | |
| 7:15 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
MLB Home Run Picks for August 7
Oneil Cruz (+450)
vs Cubs (SP: RHP Brady Singer)
Oneil Cruz gets a matchup vs. Brady Singer, who has been hit hard by lefties this season. Singer has given up a 1.36 HR/9 to lefties, as well as a 43.7% fly-ball rate and a 39.3% hard-contact rate. This ballpark isn't great for homers, but these odds more than make up for it. I have the true odds at under +400, making this a great bet.
Agustin Ramirez (+450)
at Braves (SP: RHP Carlos Carrasco)
Agustin Ramirez isn't a huge power guy, but he's in a great spot today. Carlos Carrasco has been crushed by righty power over the past few seasons, giving up nearly 2.00 HR/9 since the beginning of 2023. This ballpark is an upgrade for Ramirez, and his 17 homers and 12.5% barrel rate on the season are solid. I have the true odds here under +400, making this a great bet.
Kyle Stowers (+400)
at Braves (SP: RHP Carlos Carrasco)
Kyle Stowers has been fantastic this season, and he's in a great spot today. Carlos Carrasco is getting up there in age and really isn't a great MLB pitcher anymore. He's given up a high 1.89 HR/9 on the season, and while he's been better at suppressing power to lefties, he's due for some regression. He's given up a ton of homers over the past three seasons and grades out as an above-average matchup for lefty power. This ballpark is an upgrade for Stowers, and his 18.9% barrel rate this season is one of the best in baseball. I have the true odds here just above +300, making this a great bet.
