For Wednesday, September 10, I'm on 3 MLB home run props: Riley Greene, Jazz Chisholm and Aaron Judge.
Continue below for my MLB home run prop bets and HR parlay for Wednesday.
MLB Home Run Props, Picks, Odds — Wednesday, September 10
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 7:05 p.m. | |
| 7:05 p.m. | |
| 7:05 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
MLB Home Run Picks for September 10
Riley Greene (+630)
at Yankees (SP: LHP Carlos Rodon)
I don't love the lefty/lefty matchup, but Carlos Rodon has been an average matchup for lefty power this season, and these odds are just far too good. The weather in New York should be neutral, but likely a plus for lefty power with the wind crossing from left to right field. This ballpark is one of the best in the league for lefty power and a massive upgrade for Riley Greene.
I have the true odds here more than 100 points lower, making this a great bet.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. (+489)
vs Tigers (SP: RHP Jack Flaherty)
Tigers' starter Jack Flaherty has been an above-average matchup for power to both sides of the plate this season, and while he's been better recently, he's due for some regression.
The temperature should be a little cold in New York, but the humidity should be high. WeatherEdge has this as basically a neutral-weather game. With that short right-field porch, this ballpark is the best in the league for lefty power. I have the true odds here around +400, making this a great bet.
Aaron Judge (+260)
vs Tigers (SP: RHP Jack Flaherty)
I'm going hard on the Yankees, as these odds really don't match the spot. Jack Flaherty has been an above-average matchup for power to both sides of the plate this season, and while he's been better recently, he's due for some regression.
The temperature should be a little cold in New York, but the humidity should be high. WeatherEdge has this as basically a neutral-weather game.
Aaron Judge has been the best hitter in the league this season and hit a homer last night after a small slump. I have the true odds here around +200, making this a great bet.
