Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, Sept. 12: Will Verlander Keep A’s in Check?

Sep 12, 2019 06:00 PM EDT
Credit:

Credit: Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports

  • Sean Zerillo's MLB model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game and first five (F5) innings.
  • He analyzes Thursday's slate of games, including how to bet the Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres (3:40 p.m. ET).
  • Plug in your odds to the spreadsheet at the bottom of this article to see where you might have an edge.

After their 4-0 loss to the San Diego Padres on Wednesday night, the Chicago Cubs are now tied with the Milwaukee Brewers for the second NL Wild Card spot – with the Diamondbacks, Mets and Phillies all lurking within 2.5 games.

The Cubs have now lost two games in a row, and are 4-6 in their past 10 games – and are watching their playoff chances slip away.

As of Thursday morning, FiveThirtyEight still gives the Cubs a 44% chance of making the playoffs – while assigning the Brewers a 42% probability, the Mets a 14% chance, Arizona 9%, and the Phillies 4%.

Can San Diego take three out of four games from Chicago, and play spoiler to the Cubs playoff chances?

START MY FREE TRIAL
model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
Follow Sean Zerillo on Twitter
@SeanZerillo

Top Stories