The Arizona Diamondbacks host the Detroit Tigers on March 31, 2026. First pitch from Chase Field is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on DSN.
The Tigers are favored by -108 on the moneyline and by -1.5 (+150) on the run line. The Diamondbacks are -108 on the moneyline and +1.5 (-182) on the run line. The total is set at 9.5 runs (+110 / -134).
Find my MLB picks and Tigers vs Diamondbacks prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Tigers vs Diamondbacks Prediction
- Tigers vs Diamondbacks Pick: Diamondbacks ML (-120 or Better) | Under 9 (-105 or Better)
My Tigers vs Diamondbacks best bet is on the Diamondbacks to win a low-scoring ballgame. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Tigers vs Diamondbacks Odds
| Tigers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +150 | 9.5 110o / -134u | -108 |
| Diamondbacks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -182 | 9.5 110o / -134u | -108 |
- Tigers vs Diamondbacks spread: Tigers -1.5 (+150), Diamondbacks +1.5 (-182)
- Tigers vs Diamondbacks over/under: 9.5 (+110 / -134)
- Tigers vs Diamondbacks moneyline: Tigers -108, Diamondbacks -108
Tigers vs Diamondbacks Projected Starting Pitchers
| Casey Mize (RHP) | Stat | Brandon Pfaadt |
|---|---|---|
| Season Debut | W-L | Season Debut |
| fWAR (FanGraphs) | ||
| ERA / xERA | ||
| FIP / xFIP | ||
| WHIP | ||
| K-BB% | ||
| GB% | ||
| Stuff+ | ||
| Location+ |
Tigers vs Diamondbacks Preview
Tigers vs Diamondbacks Picks
The Diamondbacks nearly collapsed a 8-0 lead on Monday after Torey Lovullo tried to use Joe Ross (2/3 IP, 5 H, 6 R, 1 BB, 1 K) in early mopup duty in the seventh inning; the Tigers closed the gap to 8-6 and had the bases loaded with two out before Juan Morillo bailed Ross and Ryan Thompson (0 outs, 1 H, 2 BB) out of the jam.
I project an edge on the Diamondbacks moneyline again for Tuesday, and also set the Under at -130, after putting them at -134 on Monday, with a projected total near 8.6 (projected 8.99, closed 9 on Monday).
I only project Brandon Pfaadt (4.16 weighted FIP) slightly worse than Mike Soroka (4.07), and I make Casey Mize (4.12) better than Justin Verlander (4.58), which partially explains why my moneyline projection tightened and my projected total decreased. However, the advantages I saw for Arizona on Monday still exist on Tuesday:
Defense is the primary difference; the Tigers are above-average defensively as a team (catcher Dillon Dingler does a lot of heavy lifting), but they have a few soft spots, and two bad defenders (Kerry Carpenter and Gleyber Torres) in particular. Conversely, the Diamondbacks have average to above-average fielders at every position, with Carroll and catcher Gabriel Moreno projecting among the best at their respective positions.
I'm unsure how much impact umpires still have on the totals. Still, one of the more pitcher-friendly umpires in Bill Miller (career 53.1% under, +2.2% ROI) may get challenged regularly by a pair of ace defensive catchers.
The one-sided nature of Monday's contest created the conditions for a blowout on the total; I'd expect a more competitive, better-pitched game on Tuesday.
Pick: Diamondbacks ML (-120 or Better) | Under 9 (-105 or Better)
