MLB Daily Betting Model, 6/11: Press With Diamondbacks Against Jake Arrieta?
Patrick Gorski-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Philadelphia Phillies starting pitcher Jake Arrieta
- Sean Zerillo's MLB model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game and first five (F5) innings.
- He analyzes the full slate of games on June 11 with his model below and highlights Diamondbacks-Phillies (7:05 p.m. ET) and Reds-Indians (7:10 p.m. ET) as potential edges.
- Plug in your odds to the spreadsheet at the bottom of this article to see where you might have an edge.
On Tuesday, the Phillies and Diamondbacks combined for a major league record 13 home runs:
Ian Desmond also hit a go-ahead, pinch-hit home run to the summit of the Rocky Mountains:
The ball is totally fine though, nothing to see here.
Recapping Yesterday’s MLB Model
At writing yesterday, the model would have gone 2-2 against full-game moneylines, and 0-2 against first-five innings moneylines (F5).
My tracked plays went 3-3 and I finished up 0.13 units for the day.
It was a negative day in terms of generating Closing Line Value (CLV).
I lost 20 cents against the Angels moneyline (+150 to +170), and two cents against the Cubs moneyline (+115 to +117).
MLB Betting Model for Tuesday, June 11
The model recommends four full-game moneylines and six moneylines for the first-five innings (F5) on Tuesday.