MLB Daily Betting Model, 6/11: Press With Diamondbacks Against Jake Arrieta?

Jun 11, 2019 12:51 PM EDT

Patrick Gorski-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Philadelphia Phillies starting pitcher Jake Arrieta

  • Sean Zerillo's MLB model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game and first five (F5) innings.
  • He analyzes the full slate of games on June 11 with his model below and highlights Diamondbacks-Phillies (7:05 p.m. ET) and Reds-Indians (7:10 p.m. ET) as potential edges.
  • Plug in your odds to the spreadsheet at the bottom of this article to see where you might have an edge.

On Tuesday, the Phillies and Diamondbacks combined for a major league record 13 home runs:

Ian Desmond also hit a go-ahead, pinch-hit home run to the summit of the Rocky Mountains:

The ball is totally fine though, nothing to see here.

Recapping Yesterday’s MLB Model

At writing yesterday, the model would have gone 2-2 against full-game moneylines, and 0-2 against first-five innings moneylines (F5).

My tracked plays went 3-3 and I finished up 0.13 units for the day.


It was a negative day in terms of generating Closing Line Value (CLV).

I lost 20 cents against the Angels moneyline (+150 to +170), and two cents against the Cubs moneyline (+115 to +117).

MLB Betting Model for Tuesday, June 11

All odds as of Tuesday morning (view live MLB odds). Stay tuned on Twitter or follow me in The Action Network App for my entire betting card for Tuesday June 11. 

The model recommends four full-game moneylines and six moneylines for the first-five innings (F5) on Tuesday.



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