MLB Daily Betting Model, 6/10: Will Griffin Canning Win Freeway Series Debut vs. Dodgers?

Jun 10, 2019 04:00 PM EDT

Rick Ostenski-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Griffin Canning

  • Sean Zerillo's MLB model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game and first five (F5) innings.
  • He analyzes the full slate of games on June 10 with his model below and highlights Cubs-Rockies (8:40 p.m. ET) and Dodgers-Angels (10:07 p.m. ET) as potential edges.
  • Plug in your odds to the spreadsheet at the bottom of this article to see where you might have an edge.

On Sunday, the Washington Nationals hit four consecutive home runs, quickly turning a 1-1 game in the 8th inning into a complete rout:

Astros rookie Yordan Alvarez (MLB Pipeline’s No. 23 overall prospect), made some noise of his own with a moonshot in his first career game:

The Astros are currently without Jose Altuve and George Springer, but they are loaded with prospect depth.

Alvarez, a 21-year old Cuban listed at 6-foot-5, 225 pounds, was hitting .343/.443/.742 (1.184 OPS) at Triple-A this season with 23 home runs in 56 games.

Outfielder Kyle Tucker (22-years-old, No. 12 per MLB pipeline) has an OPS over 1.150 with 16 home runs and 10 steals in 35 games since the start of May. He can’t even make the Astros major league roster at present.

Houston is an offensive juggernaut, and it has more than enough young pieces to trade for additional pitching reinforcements.

Recapping Yesterday’s MLB Model

At writing yesterday, the model would have gone 1-7 against full-game moneylines, and 3-2-1 against first-five innings moneylines (F5).

My tracked plays went 4-4 and I finished down 0.24 units for the day.


It was a mixed day in terms of generating Closing Line Value (CLV). Overall, I gained 23 cents against moneylines and spreads.

MLB Betting Model for Monday, June 10

All odds as of Monday morning (view live MLB odds). Stay tuned on Twitter or follow me in The Action Network App for my entire betting card for Monday June 10. 

The model recommends five full-game moneylines and two moneylines for the first-five innings (F5) on Monday.

model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
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