MLB Predictions Today | Odds, Best Bets for Padres vs Yankees, Rangers vs Orioles (May 27)

What could be better than a Saturday full of MLB action? Well, a Saturday full of MLB betting opportunities.

Lucky for you, we have both as there are 15 games on the Saturday, May 27 MLB slate. The loaded schedule presents plenty of actionable opportunities and our MLB betting experts have found the value on the board — specifically, on Padres vs. Yankees and Rangers vs. Orioles.

So, continue reading for their picks and MLB best bets for Saturday, May 27.

Saturday's MLB Best Bets

The team logos in the table below represent each of the matchups that our MLB betting staff is targeting from today's slate of games. Click the team logos for one the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.

Game	Time	Pick
	1:05 p.m. ET	Under 9 (-105)
	4:05 p.m. ET	Rangers Moneyline (-115)
Specific bet recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

Padres vs. Yankees

Saturday, May 27 1:05 p.m. ET MLB Network

Under 9 (-105)

By D.J. James

Luis Severino has finally found his way back to the New York Yankees’ mound. While healthy, he is one of their most effective pitchers, and he showcased that in his first outing, going 4 1/3 innings against the Cincinnati Reds and only yielding one run.

He will face Michael Wacha and the San Diego Padres. Wacha may have been viewed as an “inning-eater” for the Padres coming into the 2023 campaign, but he has overachieved, at least on expectations. He has been phenomenal lately and should be able to keep some of that momentum going.

Both the Padres and Yankees have enough artillery in the bullpens to keep the offenses at bay, so the under should be in play for much of this game.

Wacha signed with the Padres in the middle of February, so his 3.58 ERA has definitely surpassed expectations. His xERA does come into this game a touch above 4.00, but the past month has been impressive. In May, over the course of 25 innings and four starts, Wacha has a 0.35 ERA.

The Padres offense has struggled with right-handed pitching this month. They own a team wRC+ of 82, ranking 25th in MLB. They do have a 12.9% walk rate, but patience doesn't always lead to power. It doesn't help that Manny Machado is on the Injured List.

In relief, the Padres have a team xFIP of 4.21, which is in the middle of the league. They have four relievers under a 4.00 xFIP, so those should be the options if the game is within reach.

Severino flashed some brilliance in that outing against the Reds. Over 102 innings pitched las season, the righty had a 3.18 ERA against a 2.94 xERA, so when he pitched, he dazzled.

The Yankees' lineup is the concern for the under in this game. They have a team wRC+ of 112 with a .766 OPS this month. Aaron Judge has an xwOBA over .500 against righties and New York has four other active hitters with xwOBAs over .330.

Overall, pitching should prevail in this one. Wacha can continue his run, as long as he can get around Judge. The rest of the Yankee lineup is workable. Severino did well in his first start and can manage against a weaker-than-average (at the moment) San Diego lineup. Take the under in this game from 9 (-105), and play it to 8.5 (-120).

Pick: Under 8.5

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Rangers vs. Orioles

Saturday, May 27 4:05 p.m. ET MLB.TV

Rangers Moneyline (-115)

By D.J. James

Dean Kremer is the worst starting pitcher on the Baltimore Orioles, and he pitches Saturday against the Texas Rangers, a team with one of the best offenses. Andrew Heaney, who has been more impressive than his results suggest, will start for Texas.

Kremer ranks in the 22nd percentile in average exit velocity and in the 10th percentile in Hard-Hit Rate. He has a 4.61 ERA, but his xERA is 6.75 with an 11.4% Barrel Rate. He is overachieving in May, and Texas should be able to get to him.

Heaney has the opposite issue with a 4.13 ERA against a 3.60 xERA. He ranks in the 62nd percentile in average exit velocity and the 87th percentile in Hard-Hit Rate. Over his past two starts, he only has only allowed one earned run over 12 innings. Things are certainly heading in the right direction.

Texas owns a team wRC+ of 106 against right-handed pitching, which ranks eighth in baseball.

Baltimore’s is 115 against lefties, but Heaney is far better than Kremer.

Baltimore has the edge in relief with a 3.50 May xFIP versus Texas’s 5.09, but since Heaney can pitch deep into games, that'll mitigate any damage done by the Ranger relievers.

This line is far too skewed toward the Orioles, so take the Rangers to -135. They should be favored.

Pick: Rangers Moneyline

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