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MLB Home Run Picks Today: Predictions, Props for Angels vs Pirates, Blue Jays vs Royals, More for Friday, September 4

MLB Home Run Picks Today: Predictions, Props for Angels vs Pirates, Blue Jays vs Royals, More for Friday, September 4 article feature image
3 min read
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Peter Aiken-Imagn Images. Pictured: Royals catcher Carter Jensen

We have a 16-game MLB slate on Friday, thanks to a Tigers vs. Guardians doubleheader.

We'll focus on the evening, as I'm targeting bangers for these three matchups: Angels vs. Pirates (6:45 p.m ET), Twins vs White Sox (7:40 p.m ET), and Blue Jays vs. Royals (8:10 p.m ET).

Read on for my 3 MLB Home Run Picks Today.


MLB Home Run Picks Today

In the table below, you'll find each of Grant Neiffer's top home run prop picks from today's slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.

GameTime (ET)Pick
Los Angeles Angels LogoPittsburgh Pirates Logo
6:45 PM
Minnesota Twins LogoChicago White Sox Logo
7:40 PM
Toronto Blue Jays LogoKansas City Royals Logo
8:10 PM
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

Angels vs Pirates Prediction, Pick

Los Angeles Angels Logo
Friday, Sept. 4
6:45 PM ET
MLB.TV
Pittsburgh Pirates Logo
Oneil Cruz Home Run
FanDuel Logo

This is a good spot, and these odds are a bit too high.

Angels SP Ryan Johnson has been hammered by lefty power this season, allowing a high 1.94 HR/9. This ballpark is below average for hitting, but Oneil Cruz is far too good of a hitter to be priced this high in this matchup.

I have the true odds for the Pirates CF at around +330.

Pick: Oneil Cruz Home Run



Twins vs White Sox Prediction, Pick

Minnesota Twins Logo
Friday, Sept. 4
7:40 PM ET
MLB.TV
Chicago White Sox Logo
Munetaka Murakami Home Run
FanDuel Logo

This is a great spot for Munetaka Murakami, and these odds are far too high.

Twins starter Zebby Matthews is a well-above-average matchup for lefty power, as he has allowed 1.51 HR/9 this season and a massive 2.05 HR/9 in his career.

The weather should be great for hitting in Chicago, with 6 mph winds blowing out and temperatures in the high-80s.

I have the true odds for the White Sox 1B at around +240.

Pick: Munetaka Murakami Home Run



Blue Jays vs Royals Prediction, Pick

Toronto Blue Jays Logo
Friday, Sept. 4
8:10 PM ET
MLB.TV
Kansas City Royals Logo
Carter Jensen Home Run
FanDuel Logo

This is an incredible spot for Carter Jensen and the Royals.

Blue Jays SP Jameson Taillon may be the best matchup in the league for power at this point, as he has allowed a massive 3.00 HR/9 to lefties and a 2.57 HR/9 to righties this season.

The weather in Kansas City should be incredible for hitting, with mid-90s temperatures, good humidity, and a 6 mph wind blowing out.

I have the true odds here for the Royals catcher at around +370.

Pick: Carter Jensen Home Run



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About the Author
Grant NeifferVerified Action Expert

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