MLB PrizePicks Props, Plays: Our 5 Top Picks, Including Domingo German & Adam Oller for Saturday’s Card
G Fiume/Getty Images. Pictured: Domingo German.
- Our MLB analyst has five PrizePicks plays for today's stacked MLB slate.
- He's eying three plays for Rays-Red Sox and two plays for Yankees-A's.
- Check out Tony Sartori's picks and analysis below.
Saturday’s MLB slate features 15 games, which means there are plenty of player props to take advantage of across the board.
Player props have become among the most popular bets in the industry, but while the amount of states with legalized gambling is growing, some may feel left out.
With PrizePicks, you get the opportunity to essentially parlay game prop over/unders with cash payouts depending on how many you get correct on that day’s slate.
Therefore, let’s take a look at some of the options on Saturday’s Major League Baseball slate and see where we can find some value to turn a profit.
A quick refresher if you aren’t familiar with PrizePicks: you can combine up to five different O/U player props to payout up to 10x your wager.
You can do a Flex Play or a Power Play. A Flex Play gives you lesser odds, but you can win money even if you don’t nail every pick. Meanwhile, a Power Play is similar to a parlay — it’s all or nothing.
Here’s how I would approach today’s MLB slate.
What is PrizePicks? A daily fantasy operator — meaning they’re available in more states (30) than sports betting is! — PrizePicks offers a unique opportunity for action on player props in which you parlay two or more plays together.
MLB PrizePicks Plays for Saturday, August 27
Jeffrey Springs Over 5 Strikeouts
Through 25 pitching appearances this season, Springs is 6-3 with a 2.46 ERA and 1.08 WHIP. Not only has he had a great year, but he has been particularly dominant since joining the starting rotation.
Over his last 14 starts, Springs has racked up at least five strikeouts in 12 of those outings (86%). We should expect this trend to continue against a Boston, a team which ranks just 24th in the league in K% when facing left-handed pitching since July 1.
Since entering the league in 2019, Springs has fared well against the Red Sox as he has a 3.09 ERA through nine appearances (though the majority of those were as a reliever). In his one start against Boston, he collected five strikeouts.
Yandy Diaz Hitter Fantasy Score Under 7
While we are backing the Rays’ starting pitcher, we will also be fading a few of their hitters as they are slated to go against left-hander Rich Hill. Through 18 starts this season, the 17-year veteran is 5-5 with a 4.68 ERA and 1.31 WHIP.
While those numbers are certainly not impressive, Hill has been in better form recently. If you look at his recent stretch of pitching, his only two poor performances were against Atlanta and Houston, two of the best lineups in baseball.
Outside of those two games, Hill has surrendered three or fewer earned runs in each of his last seven starts. In his lone start against the Rays, Hill threw four scoreless innings.
The first Tampa Bay hitter we are fading is Yandy Diaz, who went 0-1 with a walk against Hill in that outing. We are getting a generous number with this total because Diaz had a monster game last night, going 3-4 with a home run.
However, now is a good time to sell high following such a strong night at the plate. Following the seven games where Diaz has hit a home run this season, he is just 3-21 at the plate and has gone under this total in six of those seven games (86%).
Brandon Lowe Hitter Fantasy Score Under 6.5
Brandon Lowe is the other Rays hitter we are fading in this game. In that one performance against Hill earlier this season, Lowe produced a .054 xBA, .055 xSLG, and .051 xwOBA.
It has been a tough month for Lowe, who has gone under this total in nine of his last 12 games (75%). In fact, it has been a tough year for the second baseman who has a mere .234 BA over 61 games.
It is worth noting that Lowe left yesterday’s game after getting hit by a pitch, but as of right now, he is a game-time decision. If he is unable to start, then this play is simply pushed out of the PrizePicks stack.
Domingo German Pitcher Fantasy Score Over 35.5
The AL West‘s Oakland Athletics host the AL East’s New York Yankees tonight in the third matchup of this four-game series. We will be backing New York’s starting pitcher in this game, right-hander Domingo German.
After getting shelled by the Astros in his first start back from injury this season, German has settled in terrifically. Since that outing, German is 2-1 with a 2.84 ERA and 1.19 WHIP.
This strong play should continue against a terrible Oakland lineup. While It is a small sample size, this current Athletics roster possesses a mere .161 xBA, .237 xSLG, and .249 xwOBA over 13 career plate appearances against the right-hander.
Since July 1, Oakland ranks just 25th in the league in BA, 24th in SLG, 25th in OPS, 25th in wOBA, and 28th in Hard-Hit Rate when facing right-handed pitchers. This should be a particularly favorable opportunity for German to keep it rolling, especially considering that the Athletics are planning to go with seven right-handed batters in their lineup.
Adam Oller Over 3.5 Strikeouts
We will also be backing the Athletics’ starting pitcher in this matchup, at least in the strikeout department. Right-hander Adam Oller has had a very turbulent season bouncing back-and-forth between the bullpen and the starting rotation.
However, his most recent promotion to a starting role has been his most successful yet. Over his last three starts, Oller is 1-1 with a 3.24 ERA.
While the strikeouts have been inconsistent for Oller, this is a good opportunity to buy low considering he is facing a strikeout-prone team. Since July 1, the Yankees rank just 20th in the league in K% when facing right-handed pitchers.
Oller possesses a diverse six-pitch arsenal and does an excellent job mixing between them, which can be very unpredictable for opposing hitters. Considering that Oakland has utilized five different relief pitchers over its last two games, they may rely on Oller to go a little deeper into this game.