MLB Unders: Orioles, Yankees, Diamondbacks Lead Early Low-Scoring Surge in 2022 Season
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Say what you want about low-sample stretches across a 162-game MLB campaign, but betting unders two weeks into the 2022 season’s been an absolute treasure trove.
Entering Friday, unders are on a blistering 222-152-20 (59.4%) run.
The majority of the league’s done its part to contribute to the trend — only three teams have been profitable to the over — but a handful of clubs, in particular, have shouldered the load.
Frankly, the Orioles and Yankees have filled wallets; the Diamondbacks, Twins and Royals have also been a good bet for those rooting for low-scoring games.
MLB Over/Under Records
*through April 21 (you can check out ATS standings and Over/Under records for all sports here).
It only took them two full weeks, but the O’s finally cashed an over Thursday.
Baltimore wanted a more pitcher-friendly park in 2022 and beyond — BOOOOO — moving the left-field fence back 26.5 feet and raising the wall five inches.
So far, so good: Baltimore’s pitched two of its three shutouts this season at Camden Yards. The Orioles are the only team in baseball yet to go over the total at home (0-6).
The run suppression involving O’s games also traces back to an offense that’s been flat-out lost at the dish: The Orioles rank dead-last in runs per game (2.15), alongside the fourth-worst wRC+ (77).
The average closing total of an Orioles game this season is 8.19; Baltimore and its opponents have combined to average just 5.46.
The Yankees, meanwhile, boast the third-best team ERA in baseball, alongside a bottom-five scoring offense. Or, as we in the business like to call it, the perfect recipe for unders.
The Bronx Bombers, who are plating just three runs per game, host the 7-5 Guardians this weekend. Dating back to last season, New York’s 27-12-2 (69.2%) to the under vs. teams with winning records.
Another club raking in unders due to a stale offense are the Diamondbacks, who seem to fit the bill ever since installing a humidor in 2018 (they regressed from 5.02 runs per game in ’17 to 4.28).
Arizona enters the weekend with the lowest batting average in the majors (.176). The D-backs team total under has also been a solid bet, going 10-2-1.