MLB Bizarro Weather Forecast: Cleveland, Colorado Reversing Roles Thursday
Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports.
- Thursday's weather forecast is a strange one, as Colorado has one of the worst Weather Ratings of the day and the fifth worst in the history of Coors Field.
- Both Detroit and Cleveland are toward the top of the ratings despite chances of rain.
- An open roof in Arizona makes it the strongest hitting environment of the day.
We have a Bizarro Weather Report today, as places like Detroit and Cleveland are sporting much better hitting weather than our beloved Coors Field. How is that even possible? Well, Denver is a wacky city when it comes to weather. That’s how.
Highest Weather Ratings
- Braves at Diamondbacks: 73
- Angels at Tigers: 73
- White Sox at Indians: 68
Weather Ratings are a proprietary number created by FantasyLabs, which are on a 0-100 scale, with 100 being the best hitting atmosphere and 0 being the best pitching atmosphere. Weather Rating takes into account temperature, wind speed, wind direction, stadium elevation, humidity and atmospheric pressure.
The roof in Arizona is open! I repeat, the roof in Arizona is open!
Historically, this has been great for the over. Per Bet Labs, the over has hit 56% of the time in more than 600 games with the top down since 2005. Tonight’s total remains at its opener of 8.5, with over/under bets and dollars relatively split.
Two afternoon affairs near the Great Lakes are both looking solid for offense, though both are also looking sketchy on the rain front.
The Angels-Tigers game recently opened with an over/under of 9, while the White Sox-Indians game opened at 8.5 and moved to 9. Four different bet signals were triggered on over 8.5, suggesting sharps really like that number.
Though Detroit has a slightly higher Weather Rating, I personally like Cleveland’s weather more for scoring. The wind will be blowing out to right-center at 17 mph, compared to Detroit where the wind will be blowing in from right at 17 mph.
Lowest Weather Ratings
- Mariners at Yankees: 13
- Giants at Rockies: 36
- Pirates at Cardinals: 37
Once again, Yankee Stadium is boasting suboptimal hitting conditions. Tonight will feature overcast skies, temps in the low-to-mid 50s and winds of nearly 10 mph blowing in from right. The total varies between 9 and 9.5 around the market and nearly 70% of bettors like the over.
What’s this? Coors Field with a Weather Rating of 36?!? This marks the fifth-lowest Weather Rating in Colorado dating back to 2014, with the lowest being 28. The four games that have been lower than this have had eight, seven, 11 and six runs scored, respectively. That’s certainly a bit lower than what’s typically seen at Coors. This total has gone from 10 to 9.5 since opening.
- White Sox at Indians: The game starts out with around a 30% chance of showers/storms, but that will gradually increase as the day goes on, with between a 60% and 80% chance between 4-7 p.m. ET. They should be okay unless there’s a lengthy delay early in the game.
- Angels at Tigers: Scattered showers will be in the Detroit area throughout the day, with around one-half inch worth falling by tonight. Given the potential chance of steady rain and thunder, I would be surprised if this game is played without at least a delay at some point.
- Giants at Rockies: There’s going to be snow showers throughout the morning that will turn to rain showers by game time. There’s not much rain expected, but it’s going to absolutely suck to play in or attend this game. Temps in the upper 30s, wind chills in the mid 30s and maybe some rain, too. Have fun.