With March Madness in our rearview mirror, a weary nation turns its eyes to the diamond.
And our staff has responded with four best bets for Tuesday, with picks ranging from the early afternoon to past dusk.
Read on for our MLB picks and predictions for April 7.
MLB Picks, Predictions
The team logos in the table below represent the matchups our MLB betting staff is targeting from today's slate of games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 1:10 PM | |
  | 4:10 PM | |
  | 7:40 PM | |
  | 9:45 PM | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Royals vs. Guardians Over/Under Picks
By Jon Anderson
This game features two pitchers who really toe the line for different reasons.
Noah Cameron allows a ton of contact. Gavin Williams does not, but he allows a bunch of baserunners via walks.
This game is projected to feature a well-above-average number of base runners.
I have my own little SIERA-like stat that automatically calculates each morning. It looks at each pitcher's ability to get whiffs along with the percentage of pitches they throw for strikes, sprinkles in some adjustments for soft-contact inducing ability to account for the 'Fried Factor', and gets you a predictive look at future ERA.
Neither Cameron nor Williams profiles well in my projection.
So, we have two guys who are usually one big hit away from a really rough outing.
The next thing to check would be the bullpen. Neither of these teams has a good one. They're both in the bottom third of the league in my bullpen rankings.
I'd project this total around eight runs for even money.
Read Anderson's full Royals-Guardians preview here:
Pick: Over 7 (-115 or Better)
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Diamondbacks vs. Mets Total Picks
This game triggered one of our Action PRO betting systems, powered by Evan Abrams.
In the early months of the MLB season (March and April), cold weather (between one and 50 degrees) creates ideal conditions for Under.
Pitchers tend to be ahead of hitters at the start of the season, and colder air can suppress offensive production by reducing ball carry.
This system further isolates day games (12 PM to 4 PM) when shadows and cool starts give pitchers an additional edge — especially as hitters may take longer to get loose.
Taken together, these filters identify a recurring edge that has yielded a positive long-term ROI when consistently betting the under.
Additionally, our own Sean Zerillo projects a bit of value on this Under, making the line closer to 6.6 than 7.
As a reminder, you can see all of Zerillo's MLB game projections with an Action PRO Subscription. Find his projected lines every day on the PRO Projections tab.
So, to recap:
- Zac Gallen is on the mound for the Snakes.
- Fastball Freddy is on the mound for the Mets.
- One of our PRO betting systems popped for the Under.
- Zerillo projects a slight edge on the Under.
- The weather looks brutal in Queens, with temperatures in the mid-40s and 20 MPH winds blowing in from left field — BallParkPal projects a -18% run factor for this game behind a -28% home run factor.
Everything points to the Under on Tuesday afternoon.
Want more PRO betting systems and projections? Download the Action Network App and sign up for a PRO subscription here:
Pick: Under 7 (-115 or Better)
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Tigers vs. Twins Moneyline Picks
By Sean Zerillo
Taj Bradley has thrown the ball well through two starts this season (3.73 xERA, 3.51 xFIP, 18.6% K-BB%).
However, even if he maintains an above-average level of quality, it still pales in comparison to his opponent and two-time reigning AL Cy Young winner, Tarik Skubal (2.71 xERA, 2.66 XFIP, 27.8% K-BB% in 2025).
Additionally, the Twins' bullpen is far more taxed than the Tigers', as they have used Kody Funderburk, Anthony Banda, and Cody Laweryson three times in four days, and Taylor Rogers, Eric Ozre, and Justin Topa are also marked as fatigued but available given their recent usage.
Conversely, only Drew Anderson should be out for the Tigers.
Check out Zerillo's full Opening Pitch column for Tuesday here:
Pick: Tigers ML (-180 or Better)
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Phillies vs. Giants Player Prop Picks
Robbie Ray allowing walks is like lemonade on a hot day, or hot tea on a cold one.
He limited them well in his first start against the Yankees, but the Mets forced his walk issues to rear their head, with three in 5 1/3 innings.
Despite rostering two of the most patient hitters in the league — Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber — the Phillies are not the heaviest walk team.
However, Adolis Garcia, Trea Turner, and Alec Bohm all walk at a higher rate versus left-handed pitching. Also, offseason addition Dylan Moore owns a career 12.4% rate versus lefties.
While Ray did mitigate his walk issues during his 2021 to 2022 peak, they have crept back significantly. Ray's walk rate since 2023 is 10.1%. His 9.7% walk rate last season was fifth in baseball among all pitchers with at least 150 innings pitched.
Expect several free passes on the bases today.
Read Kev's full Phillies-Giants breakdown here:
Pick: Robbie Ray Over 2.5 Walks
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