The Seattle Mariners host the New York Mets on June 3, 2026. First pitch from T-Mobile Park is scheduled for 3:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SNY.
The Mariners are favored by -136 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Mets are +116 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Mets vs Mariners prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Mets vs Mariners Prediction
- Mets vs Mariners Pick: F5 Under 3.5 (+100 or Better)
My Mets vs Mariners best bet is on the first five innings under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Mets vs Mariners Odds
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -192 | 7.5 -105o / -115u | +116 |
| Mariners Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +158 | 7.5 -105o / -115u | -136 |
- Mets vs Mariners moneyline: Mets +116, Mariners -136
- Mets vs Mariners over/under: 7.5 (-105 / -115)
- Mets vs Mariners spread: Mets +1.5 (-192), Mariners -1.5 (+158)
Mets vs Mariners Probable Pitchers
| Freddy Peralta (RHP, NYM) | Stat | George Kirby (RHP, SEA) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-4 | W-L | 5-4 |
| 1.0 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.3 |
| 3.55 / 3.67 | ERA / xERA | 3.77 / 3.43 |
| 3.96 / 3.83 | FIP / xFIP | 3.49 / 3.60 |
| 14.0% | K-BB% | 14.0% |
| 41.3% | GB% | 52.7% |
| .279 | BABIP | .307 |
| 95 | Stuff+ | 101 |
| 104 | Location+ | 113 |
Mets vs Mariners MLB Betting Preview
I think this is going to be a great pitcher’s duel.
Yes, Freddy Peralta has looked slightly underwhelming, but he’s still got as high a ceiling as anyone.
Meanwhile, George Kirby might be Seattle’s Ace by season’s end. He’s been pretty effective through 12 starts (3.77 ERA, 1.22 WHIP), but his underlying numbers suggest positive regression (.343 xERA, 2.98 botERA).
Mets vs Mariners Pick, Betting Analysis
Ultimately, these two are some of baseball’s best when pitching to their potential. And I think both will revert to their elite form on Wednesday.
I’m betting that runs won’t come easily in this one, especially at T-Mobile Park, which is already a pitcher’s paradise (92 Park Factor over the past three seasons, lowest in MLB).
Pick: F5 Under 3.5 (+100 or Better)
