The Los Angeles Angels (25-28) host the New York Yankees (33-20) on May 27, 2025. First pitch from Angel Stadium is scheduled for 9:38 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on YES and FanDuel Sports West.
Once red hot, the Angels have suddenly lost three straight games entering Tuesday night's middle game against the Yankees. Two left-handers will be on the hill in Carlos Rodon and Tyler Anderson.
Find my Yankees vs Angels prediction and pick for the first five innings (F5) below.
- Yankees vs Angels pick: First Five Innings Under 4.5 (-102) | Play to -115
My Yankees vs Angels best bet is First Five Innings Under 4.5 (-102). Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Yankees vs Angels Odds
New York Yankees Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -129 | 8.5 -112o / -108u | -215 |
Los Angeles Angels Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +106 | 8.5 -112o / -108u | +180 |
Yankees vs Angels Projected Starting Pitchers
LHP Carlos Rodon (NYY) | Stat | LHP Tyler Anderson (LAA) |
---|---|---|
6-3 | W-L | 2-1 |
1.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.1 |
2.88/2.85 | ERA /xERA | 3.60/3.80 |
3.40/3.23 | FIP / xFIP | 5.23/5.15 |
0.96 | WHIP | 1.24 |
20.9% | K-BB% | 8.5% |
44.1% | GB% | 31.1% |
105 | Stuff+ | 96 |
97 | Location+ | 96 |
Kenny Ducey's Yankees vs Angels Preview, Prediction
Carlos Rodon has very much been Carlos Rodon in 2025. After a brutal start to his career in New York following a season almost entirely missed due to injury and a so-so 2024, the left-hander is reminding us just how good he was in San Francisco.
Rodon has rediscovered his elite strikeout stuff, punching out 31% of the hitters he's seen with a whiff rate that's just outside the top 10% of the league. He's induced far fewer fly balls this season, too, which has helped him take a massive leap in the right direction with a solid .343 Expected Slugging that's 62 points below average.
The veteran also has a .200 Expected Batting Average, which is just about the number he posted in his final season with the Giants. The only real detractor in his profile is the 10.1% walk rate.
You'll easily take the walks with the rest of the profile, and it's also worth mentioning that he's been very competent in that category with just eight walks in his previous five starts — four of which came in the same outing versus the Mets.
The Angels also aren't walking at all, coming home with a 7.3% walk rate in the past two weeks.
Tyler Anderson continues to fly under the radar for me. His FIP is quite high on account of his poor strikeout and walk numbers and, as a fly-ball pitcher, he's surrendered 10 home runs to drive a stake in that number further.
That's why FanGraphs won't say he's better than a 0.1-win player through 10 outings, but I think there's plenty to like here.
Anderson has avoided consistent trouble on contact with a .233 xBA that's 12 points better than average, and while the power struggles have been real they haven't been nearly as bad as you'd expect with just a 7.8% barrel rate and .428 xSLG that are more or less in line with the league average.
The lefty is an extreme fly-ball pitcher, which makes a meeting with the slugging Yankees a tough one, but New York has only posted a measly .165 Isolated Power in the last 14 days, as many of their early-season success stories have quieted down. The tough news is that they're walking in 10.3% of plate appearances, but with this profile, there's a chance Anderson can prevent New York from reaching base with consistency.
The Angels are also red-hot at the dish, which we have to mention here. Logan O'Hoppe has been a big reason why, and there's a chance he misses this game after being hit in the head by a backswing on Monday.
Still, this team owns a .217 ISO in the last two weeks to bring them up to fourth in wRC+, and they've managed to score runs in spite of a brutal 26.4% strikeout rate over that span.
Yankees vs Angels Prediction, Betting Analysis
This is a classic case of two pitchers who seem bound to give up at least a home run or two in a game, which still may not feature many runs. Neither guy has had too much of an issue with populating the bases on account of their low xBA, and while both men have walked plenty of batters, there's just one outlier performance in the last five starts that has weighed down the numbers.
New York is certainly capable of working walks — far better than Los Angeles — but it's lacked power and is hitting just .242 in the last two weeks, which gives me some faith that Anderson can navigate this lineup a couple of times. I'm also hot on Rodon, even against a team that has mashed, because the control concerns shouldn't be there against a team that has swung a ton and has failed to make consistent contact.
I think it's best to avoid this Angels bullpen, and the Yankees' stable has had some issues of its own lately, too. Let's play the Under through five.
Pick: First Five Innings Under 4.5 (-102)
Moneyline
The sharps are hitting the Yankees on the moneyline here, and New York's accounted for 92% of the handle in this market.
Run Line (Spread)
The Angels are 7-3 to the run line over their past 10 games, but are just 10-13 at home.
Over/Under
The big money is on the Pver, but we've picked up some sharp signals on the Under. The Over has hit in just two of the Yankees' last 10 games.
Yankees vs Angels Betting Trends
Angels vs Yankees Viewing Info: Channel, Start Time, Streaming
Location: | Angel Stadium in Anaheim, Calif. |
Date: | Tuesday, May 27 |
Time: | 9:38 p.m. ET |
TV / Streaming Options: | YES, FanDuel West; MLB.TV |