The Chicago Cubs host the Philadelphia Phillies on April 20, 2026. First pitch from Wrigley Field is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on NBCS-PH.
The Cubs are favored by -110 on the moneyline and by +1.5 (-200) on the run line. The Phillies are -106 on the moneyline and -1.5 (+164) on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Phillies vs Cubs prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Phillies vs Cubs Prediction
- Phillies vs Cubs Pick: Under 7.5 (-105)
My Phillies vs Cubs best bet is on the under total runs. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Phillies vs Cubs Odds
| Phillies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +164 | 7.5 -115o / -105u | -106 |
| Cubs Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -200 | 7.5 -115o / -105u | -110 |
- Phillies vs Cubs moneyline: Phillies -106, Cubs -110
- Phillies vs Cubs over/under: 7.5 (-115o / -105u)
- Phillies vs Cubs spread: Phillies -1.5 (+164), Cubs +1.5 (-200)
Phillies vs Cubs Probable Pitchers
| RHP Aaron Nola (PHI) | Stat | RHP Colin Rea (CHC) |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | W-L | 2-0 |
| 0.5 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.1 |
| 4.03/4.10 | ERA / xERA | 3.63/3.61 |
| 3.53/3.01 | FIP / xFIP | 3.59/3.28 |
| 1.30 | WHIP | 0.98 |
| 19.4% | K-BB% | 17.4% |
| 47.6% | GB% | 53.1% |
| 105 | Stuff+ | 94 |
| 99 | Location+ | 99 |
Phillies vs Cubs MLB Betting Preview
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
This is a pivotal bounce-back season for Aaron Nola, coming off a career-worst 6.01 ERA while battling injuries last year. He has not been quite as sharp as the Phillies hoped though. Nola has a 4.03 ERA through his first four starts and has allowed three runs in three of his four starts.
Nola has 24 strikeouts in 22 1/3 innings and the good news is that his fastball velocity has ticked back up a bit in recent starts. He needs his fastball to play better. His off-speed pitches have been effective, but batters are able to sit on his fastball for a .510 wOBA this season.
Philadelphia’s offense has been a major disappointment to start the season. They were viewed as one of the game’s most dangerous lineups after bringing back all of their key bats but have not looked the part through 21 games. Philly ranks 27th in scoring and they have the worst run differential in the entire league.
Kyle Schwarber is still providing the power stroke with seven home runs, but he is hitting just .227. Harper has been fine, but not great, and Trea Turner holds a .676 OPS right now. It only gets worse from there as the bottom of this order and guys like Alec Bohm, Bryson Stott, and Adolis Garcia have been a disaster.
Chicago Cubs Betting Preview
After an unexpected slow start, the Cubs have come scorching back to win five straight games entering Monday night. Injuries have decimated Chicago’s rotation forcing swingman Colin Rea back into the starting rotation. Rea has made four appearances this season, with one start. He has been used in a variety of roles from starter, to piggyback option, to the long-relief guy.
In four appearances, Rea has a 3.63 ERA and continues to provide a high-floor for the Cubs. Rea had a 3.95 ERA last season as he found success transferring away from heavy-sinker usage to rely more on his four seamer.
Chicago’s lineup stumbled out of the gates but have really picked it up over the last week. The Cubs are averaging 7.6 runs per game over the last week, the most in the league. They have a team OPS of .881 over that stretch and have been red hot.
Nico Hoerner has been the most consistent bat in this lineup all season but Ian Happ and Alex Bregman have really picked it up over the last week. The Cubs also got Seiya Suzuki back recently, a big boost at the plate for them.
Phillies vs Cubs Pick, Betting Analysis
These two teams are quickly going in opposite directions at the moment. Philadelphia is looking to stop a five-game losing streak, while Chicago is looking to keep its five-game winning streak going.
This Phillies offense has been brutal so far this season. They basically rely exclusively on Schwarber bombs to put up runs. They are not patient at the plate, do not hit well with runners in scoring position, and have pretty much struggled top-to-bottom.
The top-end guys in Harper and Turner have been hitting like middle-of-the-order guys, and the middle guys like Bohm and Stott have been a disaster.
Rea is nothing spectacular, but he has a high floor as solid back-end swingman option. He does a good job working deep into games and rarely walks batters. He keeps the ball on the ground and limits mistakes, which is all you want for the back of your rotation.
The Cubs lineup has been red hot at the plate, especially Hoerner, but with a cold weather blowing in and temperatures expected to be in the 40s on Monday, hopefully that is enough to cool off the Chicago bats.
With the cold weather and struggling Phillies lineup, look for this game to stay under the total on Monday night.
Pick: Under 7.5 (-105)
