The Boston Red Sox host the Pittsburgh Pirates on August 30, 2025. First pitch from Fenway Park is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on MLB Network.
Betting Pirates vs. Red Sox today? Our proprietary betting data singled out a neat strikeout prop bursting with value.
Find my MLB betting preview and Pirates vs Red Sox prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Pirates vs Red Sox Prediction
- Pirates vs Red Sox pick: Johan Oviedo Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-130)
My Pirates vs Red Sox best bet is Under 4.5 strikeouts for Johan Oviedo today. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Pirates vs Red Sox Odds
| Pirates Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -144 | 9 -110o / -110u | +147 |
| Red Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +118 | 9 -110o / -110u | -182 |
Pirates vs Red Sox Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Johan Oviedo (PIT) | Stat | RHP Dustin May (BOS) |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | W-L | 7-10 |
| 0.3 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.9 |
| 3.60 / 1.77 | ERA / xERA | 4.79 / 5.06 |
| 3.42 / 4.27 | FIP / xFIP | 4.81 / 4.40 |
| 1.20 | WHIP | 1.38 |
| 20.9 | K-BB% | 12.3 |
| 26.1 | GB% | 42.9 |
| 101 | Stuff+ | 101 |
| 84 | Location+ | 96 |
Alex Kolodziej’s Pirates vs Red Sox Preview, Prediction, Betting Analysis
On Saturday, PRO Projections highlight Pirates starting pitcher Johan Oviedo landing under his strikeout total.
Despite Oviedo’s recent strikeout numbers finishing relatively high — recording six and five strikeouts in his last two outings — these figures may be somewhat inflated by matchup and situational factors.
PRO’s prop data, which analyzes odds, projections, and betting markets, forecasts Oviedo to record fewer than 4.5 strikeouts in this game, projecting just 4.1 strikeouts, which represents an 8.2% betting edge.
This under bet aligns with several key trends. The Red Sox tend to strike out less frequently when playing at home, averaging 7.7 strikeouts compared to nearly 10 on the road. Fenway Park is considered one of the more hitter-friendly ballparks, ranking as the seventh worst for pitcher strikeouts according to Statcast data. The Red Sox are heating up, going 7-2 over their last nine games.
Further supporting this bet is the fact that the Red Sox rank ninth in fewest collective team strikeouts by batters over the past 30 games, indicating a lineup likely to limit Oviedo’s strikeout opportunities.
Considering all these factors, betting the under on Johan Oviedo's strikeouts on Saturday emerges as a favorable wager with strong data backing from the PRO Projections.
Pick: Johan Oviedo Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-130, Fanatics)
Pirates vs Red Sox Betting Trends
