Rockies vs. Phillies Odds & Picks: Expect Philadelphia to Dominate Colorado
Mitchell Leff/Getty Images. Pictured: Bryce Harper.
- The Phillies are favored to win a third straight game over the Rockies tonight.
- Ranger Suarez will start with a red-hot Philadelphia lineup backing him up.
- Doug Ziefel breaks down the matchup and makes his betting pick below.
Rockies vs. Phillies Odds
|Over/Under||8.5 (-105 / -115)|
|Time||6:45 p.m. ET|
|Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.|
After dominating the first two games, the Phillies enter this Wednesday matchup looking to secure a series win in this four-game set against the Rockies.
Philadelphia will face rookie Rockies rookie starter Ryan Feltner, who will be making his second start against them in his young career, this time against crafty lefty Ranger Suarez.
Suarez will hope a Phillies lineup that scored 18 runs in the first two games of this series will stay hot. Let’s break down whether the Phils can stay hot or whether the Colorado rookie has something up his sleeve.
Phillies Bats Will Test Young Feltner
Feltner got a cup of coffee with the Rockies last season, and one of his two career starts was in Philadelphia. That start was an improvement from his MLB debut, but he still only managed 3 2/3 innings because of his struggles with command. Feltner walked five batters over 6 1/3 innings last season in his two starts.
The rookie will not be given any favors in his 2022 debut against an even more daunting Phillies lineup than he saw last season. Philadelphia’s outfield has been carrying the lineup throughout the series. Bryce Harper and Nick Castellanos have thrived already against Colorado pitching, while Odubel Herrera hit his first homer of the season on Tuesday night.
Entering this matchup, the Phillies are fifth in the league in hitting and 10th in wRC+. If the first two games of the four-game set are any indication, Philadelphia is getting hot. A hot Phillies lineup at home is a scary sight for a rookie making his return to the big leagues.
Colorado’s Bats Need To Find Life Away From Coors
While Citizens Bank Park is historically a hitter’s park, the offensive boost may only be limited to the home team. Suarez has been much better at home in his career, with a home ERA that is 0.67 lower than on the road. Opposing hitters have a .626 OPS against Suarez in Philadelphia, and that’s up to .711 on the road.
Adding to Suarez’s splits are the drastic home-road splits of the Rockies lineup. On the surface, Colorado appears to be one of the better offenses in the league, ranking second in batting average and ninth in runs scored. However, many of those numbers were posted at Coors Field.
On the road, every major offensive statistic is much lower. The Rockies’ team batting average is 50 points lower, their on-base percentage is 43 points lower and their slugging percentage is 44 points lower.
Through the first two games of the series, the Rockies have only totaled five runs on 11 hits. To put that in perspective, the Phillies put up 10 runs on 11 hits on Tuesday night alone.
The drop in altitude certainly seems to correlate to a decline in offensive production, and those struggles seem likely to continue here against Suarez.
The Phillies have been heating up, and all indications point to it continuing in the third game of this series.
Suarez has been very tough to hit this season. He’s in the top 10% of the league in average exit velocity, which only adds to his long track record of home cooking.
As for the Rockies, having a young rookie face this sizzling lineup is not ideal. Unless their bats can draw on some of that Coors Field production, this could be a second straight blowout.
For us, that’ll be our angle. The Phillies should get ahead early and stay ahead, as the Rockies have proven to have no answer on the mound.
Pick: Phillies -1.5 (-105)