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Padres vs Rangers Prediction, Pick, MLB Odds for Sunday, June 21

Padres vs Rangers Prediction, Pick, MLB Odds for Sunday, June 21 article feature image
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Raymond Carlin III-Imagn Images. Pictured: Fernando Tatis Jr.

The Texas Rangers host the San Diego Padres on June 21, 2026. First pitch from Globe Life Field is scheduled for 2:35 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SDPA.

The Rangers are favored by -149 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Padres are +123 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.

Find my MLB picks and Padres vs Rangers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.


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Padres vs Rangers Prediction

Padres vs Rangers Pick:

  • Joc Pederson Over 1.5 HRR
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Singles

Padres vs Rangers Odds

Padres Logo
Sunday, Jun 21
2:35 p.m. ET
SDPA
Rangers Logo
Padres Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
-181
7.5
-111o / -108u
+123
Rangers Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
+149
7.5
-111o / -108u
-149
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
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Padres vs Rangers Probable Pitchers

RHP Jared Jones (PIT)StatRHP Michael Lorenzen (COL)
1-1W-L2-8
0.1fWAR (FanGraphs)0.6
6.23 / 5.13ERA / xERA7.13 / 5.63
5.07 / 3.96FIP / xFIP4.84 / 4.41
15.4%K-BB%10.2%
42.6%GB%44.8%
.360BABIP.390
101Stuff+88
108Location+102

Padres vs Rangers MLB Betting Preview

The Rangers will host the Padres on Sunday afternoon in the last of a three-game homestand at Globe Life Field in Arlington. MacKenzie Gore will take the mound for Texas, while veteran Lucas Giolito will start for San Diego.

Giolito’s having a rough season (25 ⅔ IP, 4.56 ERA, 1.79 WHIP), as he’s completely lost command of his arsenal (13.6% strikeout rate, 17.8% walk rate).

Gore started the season in white-hot form, but he’s been highly inconsistent. He’s a high-strikeout guy but often struggles on contact (44% hard-hit rate allowed, 36% ground-ball rate).

I think this matchup could feature plenty of offense, and I’m looking to play some player props.

First, I’m looking to target Joc Pederson, who is 5-for-8 lifetime off Giolito with two extra-base hits.

Pederson has struggled so far this season, but this is a good bounce-back spot for him, especially considering how much Giolito has struggled against lefties this season (.429 wOBA allowed).

I also really like the matchup for Fernando Tatis Jr. against Gore, who can struggle when he’s not missing bats.

Picks:

  • Joc Pederson Over 1.5 HRR (+113)
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Singles (-138)

Padres vs Rangers Weather


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Author Profile
About the Author

Ryan graduated from Providence College in 2016 with Bachelor Degrees in Business Economics & Mathematics. It was at Providence where Ryan really first found his passion for sports betting. For a lifelong sports fan with a knack for statistical analysis, he was instantly drawn to the fundamentals of the industry, specifically how sports betting markets functioned and fluctuated. In what primarily started as a recreational hobby, Ryan began studying the ins-and-outs of sports betting markets on a daily basis. He took to Twitter (now X), where he amassed a following for writing a sports betting blog that provided statistical analysis behind his wagers. In spite of seeking employment opportunities elsewhere post graduation, Ryan continued to follow his passion for the statistical analysis of sports betting wagers, eventually deciding to pursue a career in the sports betting industry.

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