The Milwaukee Brewers host the San Francisco Giants on June 4, 2026. First pitch from American Family Field is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on BREW.
The Brewers are favored by -158 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Giants are +134 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 9.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Giants vs Brewers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Giants vs Brewers Prediction
- Giants vs Brewers Pick: Under 9.5
My Giants vs Brewers best bet is on the Under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Giants vs Brewers Odds
| Giants Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -160 | 9.5 -100o / -122u | +134 |
| Brewers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +132 | 9.5 -100o / -122u | -158 |
- Giants vs Brewers moneyline: Giants +134, Brewers -158
- Giants vs Brewers over/under: 9.5 (-100 / -122)
- Giants vs Brewers spread: Giants +1.5 (-160), Brewers -1.5 (+132)
Giants vs Brewers Probable Pitchers
| Adrian Houser (RHP, SFG) | Stat | Coleman Crow (RHP, MIL) |
|---|---|---|
| 2-5 | W-L | 0-0 |
| -0.1 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.3 |
| 5.59 / 5.67 | ERA / xERA | 3.14 / 5.02 |
| 5.20 / 4.75 | FIP / xFIP | 3.72 / 5.10 |
| 5.4% | K-BB% | 8.6% |
| 44.3% | GB% | 37.0% |
| .307 | BABIP | .222 |
| 89 | Stuff+ | 103 |
| 110 | Location+ | 111 |
Giants vs Brewers MLB Betting Preview
Coleman Crow is one of Milwaukee’s better pitching prospects. He’s been running stupid high strikeout rates in the minors (upwards of 30% at Triple-A) behind some really nice secondary stuff, specifically a slow-but-bendy curveball (118 Stuff+ rating).
Unfortunately, his arsenal is far from powerful. His secondary stuff sits in the high-70s, and he relies heavily on a mediocre cutter that sits around 88.
I don’t expect the Brewers to give Crow a long leash. But that’s okay because the Brewers have an elite bullpen (second in reliever fWAR, 3.1) behind a bunch of well-developed arms.
The Giants have gotten their offense out of the gutter over the past month (117 wRC+), but I think it’s smoke and mirrors behind a high BABIP (.303, fifth-highest during the stretch). The lineup still lacks a decent pitch-to-pitch process (hence their stupid-low walk rate), and their quality-of-contact numbers indicate regression (past 30 days: .337 wOBA, .312 xwOBA).
Speaking of regression, the Brewers are posting a .319 BABIP over the past month, the second-highest mark during the stretch. I think they’re also hitting above their heads (.325 wOBA, .316 xwOBA during the stretch).
Giants vs Brewers Pick, Betting Analysis
I don’t trust Adrian Houser, but when I plug him, Crow, these two offenses, and a -5% weather-related run-scoring factor (per BallParkPal) into my model, it spits out an 8.6-run projected total.
I believe that Crow and Co. can handle San Francisco’s sluggish, likely overvalued lineup. And I think Milwaukee’s offense is also overvalued, which gives the Giants’ stable of below-average pitchers and fielders a shot, especially given the relatively high 9.5-run total.
Pick: Under 9.5
