The Toronto Blue Jays host the Seattle Mariners on October 13, 2025. First pitch from Rogers Centre is scheduled for 12:00 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on FOX.
Find my MLB betting preview and Mariners vs Blue Jays prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Mariners vs Blue Jays Prediction
- Mariners vs Blue Jays picks: Blue Jays ML (play to -150)
My Mariners vs Blue Jays best bet is the Blue Jays moneyline. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Mariners vs Blue Jays Odds
| Mariners Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -200 | 7.5 -115o / -105u | +110 |
| Blue Jays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +165 | 7.5 -115o / -105u | -130 |
Mariners vs Blue Jays Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Logan Gilbert (SEA) | Stat | RHP Trey Yesavage (TOR) |
|---|---|---|
| 6-6 | W-L | 1-0 |
| 2.6 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.4 |
| 3.44/3.03 | ERA /xERA | 3.21/4.14 |
| 3.35/2.95 | FIP / xFIP | 2.35/3.13 |
| 1.03 | WHIP | 1.43 |
| 5.6 | K-BB% | 2.3 |
| 38.8 | GB% | 53.8 |
| 96 | Stuff+ | 106 |
| 110 | Location+ | 93 |
Sean Paul’s Mariners vs Blue Jays Preview
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview, Analysis
The Blue Jays have a good one in rookie starter Trey Yesavage, who looked nothing like a rookie in his first playoff start. He held the Yankees hitless over 5 1/3 innings with 11 strikeouts on 70 pitches. If the game had been closer, Yesavage would have pitched deeper into the game.
Before his masterful postseason debut, Yesavage hadn't done much in the bigs. He pitched 14 Major League innings, posting a 3.21 ERA with a 2.35 FIP and a 10.29 K/9.
This matchup is pretty perfect for Yesavage if he can keep his nasty splitter close enough to the zone and generate chases like he did versus the Yankees. And he probably can, as the Mariners have no shortage of swing-and-miss options in their lineup.
Seattle showed serious swing and miss problems against the Tigers in its ALDS win. Troy Melton was the only starter the Mariners struck out fewer than six times against, and he went just four innings. The Mariners struck out six times against Jack Flaherty and Casey Mize in fewer than four innings, though.
Moreover, Yesavage is elite at keeping the ball in the yard. He's yet to surrender a Major-League homer, and allowed just 0.73 HR/9 in the minors. That'll be put to the toughest test against a Mariners squad that led the league in home runs in September, but seemingly nothing phases this youngster.
I was a bit shocked to see the Blue Jays struggle with Bryce Miller like they did in Game 1. However, one thing didn't change and that's their approach — they punched out and walked three times each.
Given that Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Ernie Clement, who each hit nearly .500 in the ALDS, but failed to record a hit in Game 1 of the ALCS, it's not a stunner that Seattle found a way to snag the game. Plus, George Springer and Alejandro Kirk are each hitting below .200 in the playoffs.
The Blue Jays posted the 11th-best wRC+ in MLB in September.
Seattle Mariners Betting Preview
The Mariners are clearly going for the jugular and want a chance to clinch in Seattle. Dan Wilson is going with his ace, Logan Gilbert, to try to steal both games in Toronto.
Over his past nine outings (two in the postseason), Gilbert allowed more than two runs just once. He's been phenomenal, but this matchup is a tough one. Ranking in the 94th percentile in strikeout rate, Gilbert is one of the sport's premier strikeout arms.
On the flip side, when Gilbert gets hit, he gets hit hard. He finished the year in the 10th percentile in average exit velocity and below the 50th percentile in barrel and hard-hit rate.
I've long been skeptical about the Mariners' lineup being good enough to win a championship. If Cal Raleigh isn't carrying the offense, I don't see Seattle cobbling enough runs off of Yesavage to steal this game. Raleigh is hitting .400 with a 1.163 OPS, including his Game 1 home run to tie the game at one in the sixth inning.
Some of the typical big-boppers in the lineup — Randy Arozarena and Julio Rodriguez — are close to automatic outs right now. At what point will John Schneider treat Raleigh like he did Aaron Judge and put up four fingers? It might not be long, as this lineup is a train wreck, except for the potential AL MVP.
Mariners vs Blue Jays Prediction, Betting Analysis
Let's not have one strange game make us forget that the Blue Jays were dominant in Canada this year, posting a 54-27 record. They play much better at home, and have all the factors on their side in Game 2.
Pick: Blue Jays Moneyline (play to -150)
Mariners vs Blue Jays Betting Trends
