Mexico and Great Britain face off on Friday, March 6, as the World Baseball Classic gets underway.
First pitch is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET, and the game will be broadcast on FS1.
Find our World Baseball Classic preview, Mexico vs Great Britain pick, and WBC prediction below.
Mexico vs Great Britain Picks
- Puerto Rico vs Colombia Pick: Over 8.5 (-110, DraftKings) | Play to 9 (-110)
My Mexico vs Great Britain best bet is on the Over. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Mexico vs Great Britain Odds
| Mexico Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-4.5 -130 | 8.5 -110 / -110 | -1200 |
| Great Britain Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+4.5 +105 | 8.5 -110 / -110 | +700 |
- Mexico vs Great Britain Moneyline: Mexico -1200, Great Britain +700
- Mexico vs Great Britain Spread: Mexico -4.5
- Mexico vs Great Britain Over/Under: 8.5 (-110 / -110)
Mexico vs Great Britain WBC Prediction for March 6
My moneyline projection sits at the midpoint of the betting market for this matchup, which has Mexico priced between -1000 (90.9%) and -1200 (92.3%) implied as of writing.
I would need something closer to +1200 to back the Brits straight up, and their spread is appropriately priced.
The actionable edge is the total.
My model sets the number closer to 9.5 for this game, anticipating the mercy rule triggering just 1.3% of the time, as Mexico will likely go to their lesser relievers (and save their best arms for tougher matchups with USA and Italy), assuming they get out to an early lead.
Mexico ranks as the tournament's fifth-best offense. If they were an MLB team, I would rate them right around league average (100 wRC+).
While the Brits also have some decent bats, they rate as my third-worst pitching staff in the field.
Pick: Over 8.5 (-110, DraftKings) | Bet to 9 (-110)
