Rays vs Yankees Predictions, Odds, Start Time: MLB Picks for Wednesday

Sean Zerillo

Senior Betting Analyst

Jul 30, 2025, 06:23 PM EDT

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Rays vs Yankees Predictions, Odds, Start Time: MLB Picks for Wednesday article feature image

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Credit:

Credit: Imagn Images. Pictured: Tampa Bay Rays C Nick Fortes (left), New York Yankees 1B Cody Bellinger (right).

This article contains predictions for an old game.

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The New York Yankees host the Tampa Bay Rays on July 30, 2025. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on MLB Network.

Read my Rays vs Yankees prediction and MLB over/under pick below.

Quickslip

Tap To Bet The Over!

My Rays vs Yankees Prediction

Rays vs Yankees pick: Over 9 (-105, BetMGM)

Rays vs Yankees Odds, Spread

Wednesday, Jul 30

7:05 p.m. ET

MLB Network

Rays Odds
Spread	Total	Moneyline
+1.5 -185	9 -115o / -105u	+115

Yankees Odds
Spread	Total	Moneyline
-1.5 +150	9 -115o / -105u	-135

Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.

Rays vs Yankees Run Line: Rays +1.5 (-185); Yankees -1.5 (+150)

Rays vs Yankees Totals: 9 (O -115 / U -105)

Rays vs Yankees Moneyline: Rays +115; Yankees -135

Rays vs Yankees Best Bet: Over 9

Rays vs Yankees Projected Starting Pitchers

RHP Zack Littell (TBR)	Stat	RHP Will Warren (NYY)
8-8	W-L	6-5
0.8	fWAR (FanGraphs)	1.7
3.72 / 4.57	ERA / xERA	4.82 / 4.07
4.92 / 4.21	FIP / xFIP	3.71 / 3.57
1.11	WHIP	1.44
13.2%	K-BB%	15.9%
41.3%	GB%	43.8%
86	Stuff+	102
104	Location+	100

Sean Zerillo’s Rays vs Yankees Betting Preview

The weather should be hitter-friendly in the Bronx on Wednesday, with 91-degree temperatures and five-to-seven MPH winds out toward left field.

Rays starting pitcher Zack Littell (4.56 xERA, 4.21 xFIP, 13.2% K-BB, 4.56 botERA) is struggling. He’s running into a home-run problem (1.82 HR/9), which is a brutal issue to have at Yankee Stadium (+21% HR Factor over the past three seasons).

I’m high on Yankees starting pitcher Will Warren, but I think he’s running out of gas. He’s at 104 ⅔ innings this season after throwing a combined 132 ⅓ across all levels last year.

Will Warren	ERA / xFIP	K-BB%	Pitching+ / botERA
Through June	4.37 / 3.17	19.5%	105 / 3.60
July	6.29 / 4.87	5.2%	98 / 4.00

Throw in New York’s slumping bullpen (4.32 xFIP over the past month, 24th), and I project 9.66 runs for this game.

I'd bet the Over 9 at -115 or better.

Pick: Over 9

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About the Author

Sean graduated from the University of Miami and Hofstra University Law School, later passing the New York State Bar Exam in 2014. He shifted from a legal career to sports data and betting, joining the Action Network in 2019 after working as a baseball video scout and in financial regulatory compliance. As a senior writer and betting analyst, Sean provides MLB and MMA projections using proprietary models and contributes to various digital content and podcasts, becoming a leading expert in betting for baseball, MMA, and horse racing.

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