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Blue Jays vs Cubs Prediction, Pick, MLB Odds for Sunday, June 21

Blue Jays vs Cubs Prediction, Pick, MLB Odds for Sunday, June 21 article feature image
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Jun 16, 2026; Boston, Massachusetts, USA; Toronto Blue Jays first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (27) bats against the Boston Red Sox during the first inning at Fenway Park. Mandatory Credit: Brian Fluharty-Imagn Images

The Chicago Cubs host the Toronto Blue Jays on June 21, 2026. First pitch from Wrigley Field is scheduled for 2:20 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SNET.

The Blue Jays are favored by -122 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Cubs are +101 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 6.5 runs.

Find my MLB picks and Blue Jays vs Cubs prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.


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Blue Jays vs Cubs Prediction

  • Blue Jays vs Cubs Pick: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases

My Blue Jays vs Cubs best bet is on Vladdy's prop. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.


Blue Jays vs Cubs Odds

Blue Jays Logo
Sunday, Jun 21
2:20 p.m. ET
SNET
Cubs Logo
Blue Jays Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
+143
6.5
-118o / -102u
-122
Cubs Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
-174
6.5
-118o / -102u
+101
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
DraftKings Logo
  • Blue Jays vs Cubs moneyline: Blue Jays -122, Cubs +101
  • Blue Jays vs Cubs over/under: 6.5 (-118 / -102)
  • Blue Jays vs Cubs spread: Blue Jays -1.5 (+143), Cubs +1.5 (-174)

Blue Jays vs Cubs Probable Pitchers

RHP Dylan Cease (TOR)StatLHP Shota Imanaga (CHC)
4-3W-L4-6
2.6fWAR (FanGraphs)0.9
2.71 / 3.02ERA / xERA4.26 / 3.64
2.37 / 2.53FIP / xFIP4.58 / 3.87
26.1%K-BB%17.8%
45.6%GB%38.2%
.331BABIP.238
108Stuff+93
98Location+108

Blue Jays vs Cubs MLB Betting Preview

The Blue Jays and Cubs will square off on Sunday afternoon to finish the last of a three-game set at Wrigley Field in Chicago. We get a fun starting pitching matchup in this one, with Dylan Cease facing off against Shota Imanaga.

After a down 2025 in San Diego, Cease has bounced back this season, recording a 2.71 ERA behind 110 strikeouts, the third-most among MLB pitchers.

Unfortunately, the same can’t be said of Imanga, who has continually gotten worse with each season in the big leagues.

  • 2024: 2.91 ERA, 3.72 FIP
  • 2025: 3.73 ERA, 4.86 FIP
  • 2026: 4.26 ERA, 4.58 FIP

Thus, I’m looking to fade Imanaga in this matchup.


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Blue Jays vs Cubs Pick, Betting Analysis

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. matches up well with Imanaga’s arsenal.

Imanaga relies on pitches with late-breaking movement off the plate to force chases (37%, 97th percentile), but that won’t work against Vladdy, who is one of the most patient hitters in the game (10% strikeout rate, 11% walk rate).

Thus, I expect Imanaga will have to attack Guerrero over the plate eventually, and Vladdy punishes pitches left over the heart of the plate.

Pick: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases (+113)


Blue Jays vs Cubs Weather


Get the latest coverage on MLB Weather.
Author Profile
About the Author

Ryan graduated from Providence College in 2016 with Bachelor Degrees in Business Economics & Mathematics. It was at Providence where Ryan really first found his passion for sports betting. For a lifelong sports fan with a knack for statistical analysis, he was instantly drawn to the fundamentals of the industry, specifically how sports betting markets functioned and fluctuated. In what primarily started as a recreational hobby, Ryan began studying the ins-and-outs of sports betting markets on a daily basis. He took to Twitter (now X), where he amassed a following for writing a sports betting blog that provided statistical analysis behind his wagers. In spite of seeking employment opportunities elsewhere post graduation, Ryan continued to follow his passion for the statistical analysis of sports betting wagers, eventually deciding to pursue a career in the sports betting industry.

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