The New York Mets host the Washington Nationals on August 16, 2026. First pitch from Citi Field is scheduled for 1:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SNY.
The Mets are -166 on the moneyline. The Nationals are +140 on the moneyline. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Nationals vs Mets prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Nationals vs Mets Prediction
Nationals vs Mets Pick:
- Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
- Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Total Bases
- Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Home Runs
Nationals vs Mets Odds
| Nationals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -164 | 8.5 -110o / -110u | +140 |
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +136 | 8.5 -110o / -110u | -166 |
Nationals vs Mets Probable Pitchers
| Jake Irvin (RHP, WSN) | Stat | Christian Scott (RHP, NYM) |
|---|---|---|
| 2-6 | W-L | 3-3 |
| 0.5 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.9 |
| 5.79 / 5.35 | ERA / xERA | 3.45 / 3.77 |
| 4.85 / 4.59 | FIP / xFIP | 3.27 / 3.66 |
| 13.3% | K-BB% | 19.1% |
| 37.2% | GB% | 33.3% |
| .270 | BABIP | .318 |
| 98 | Stuff+ | 107 |
| 100 | Location+ | 100 |
Nationals vs Mets MLB Betting Preview
The Mets will host the Nationals on Sunday in the last of a three-game divisional set at Citi Field in Queens. Christian Scott will start for New York, while Jake Irvin will start for Washington.
Irvin’s having a tough season, running a 5.79 ERA across 65 frames.
Nationals vs Mets Pick, Betting Analysis
I think this is a good spot to fade Irvin by targeting Francisco Lindor.
Lindor is white-hot, slashing .271/.352/.500 for a 138 wRC+ in August. Additionally, he’s 8-for-23 lifetime against Irvin with three doubles and two homers.
Irvin throws a four-pitch mix, tossing all three fastballs and a curveball over 80% of the time. But opposing hitters have smashed those fastballs — he’s allowed a .366 xwOBA on four-seamers, .413 on cutters, and a whopping .469 on sinkers.
Lindor is slugging just .411 against fastballs this season, but he’s due for some positive regression with a .508 xSLG. It seems that some of that regression has come over the past few weeks, and I expect more on Sunday.
It’s also worth mentioning that Lindor has homered twice off Irvin in prior head-to-head meetings.
Picks:
- Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
- Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Total Bases
- Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Home Runs
