The San Francisco Giants host the Washington Nationals on June 9, 2026. First pitch from Oracle Park is scheduled for 9:45 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on NBCS-BA.
The Giants are favored by -110 on the moneyline and are +1.5 on the run line. The Nationals are -106 on the moneyline and -1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Nationals vs Giants prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Nationals vs Giants Prediction
- Nationals vs Giants Pick: Nationals ML (-106, Play to -120) | Nationals F5 ML (-116, Play to -125)
My Nationals vs Giants best bet is on Washington to win outright and also be ahead after five innings. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Nationals vs Giants Odds
| Nationals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +158 | 8.5 -104o / -118u | -106 |
| Giants Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -194 | 8.5 -104o / -118u | -110 |
- Nationals vs Giants moneyline: Nationals -106, Giants -110
- Nationals vs Giants over/under: 8.5 (-104 / -118)
- Nationals vs Giants spread: Nationals -1.5 (+158), Giants +1.5 (-194)
Nationals vs Giants Probable Pitchers
| Andrew Alvarez (LHP, WAS) | Stat | Adrian Houser (RHP, SF) |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | W-L | 2-5 |
| 0.4 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | -0.2 |
| 3.54 / 4.77 | ERA / xERA | 5.49 / 5.41 |
| 3.11 / 2.68 | FIP / xFIP | 5.27 / 4.86 |
| 19.5 | K-BB% | 5.8 |
| 53.7 | GB% | 43.0 |
| .327 | BABIP | .308 |
| 97 | Stuff+ | 89 |
| 101 | Location+ | 109 |
Nationals vs Giants MLB Betting Preview
Editor's Note: This written article is a transcription from the latest episode of the Payoff Pitch podcast.
Andrew Alvarez went four innings in his last start for the Nationals. I'm projecting him to go either four or five frames tonight. The Washington bullpen is pretty well rested, and I see a pretty big advantage in the starting pitching matchup here. Adrian Houser projects as one of my lowest-tier starting pitchers, SP 175.
If I were ranking Alvarez among starting pitchers, he would be closer to a top-50 starter, although he doesn't really have enough of a sample as a starter yet. He does have a really good slider, but his fastball has been very hittable. The sinker's been a little bit better than his four-seamers. So we'll see if he continues to use that sinker-slider approach. He has a 54% ground-ball rate and expected indicators in the mid-threes.
Alvarez has been very effective so far. We'll just see what he looks like when he has to stretch out a little bit.
Meanwhile, all of Houser's metrics have been moving in the wrong direction: SIERA, expected ERA, expected FIP; they're all at five or over five, plus an expected ERA of 5.40 for the San Francisco starter. His K-BB rate is down to 6%, so he's not missing bats.
Logan Webb was able to shut down the Nationals offense last night, but the moment the Giants bullpen came in, they were immediately in trouble.
Nationals vs Giants Pick, Betting Analysis
I prefer the Nationals offense. Not only do they hit the ball harder, but they also have better plate discipline and a better process as well. Plus, they're the much, much faster team on the base pass.
These are two of my worst defensive teams, so I don't really worry about quality here in that regard. They are also my two worst bullpens: I have Washington 29th, and the Giants dead last at 30th, especially with Keaton Winn, who's kind of moved into their closer's role.
Winn pitched last night and is likely down today, as Dylan Smith and JT Brubaker are probably all unavailable. I believe Calen Kilian has thrown a bunch lately as well.
So Washington's pen is bad, but they're actually more well-rested than the Giants relievers tonight.
I'm backing the Nationals to -125 in the first five innings and down to -120 for the full game. Those are the two bets I like here.
Pick: Nationals ML (-106, Play to -120) | Nationals F5 ML (-116, Play to -125 | FanDuel)
