The Tampa Bay Rays host the Cleveland Guardians on July 25, 2026. First pitch from Tropicana Field is scheduled for 6:10 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on CLEG.
The Rays are favored by -135 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Guardians are +110 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find our MLB picks and Guardians vs Rays prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Guardians vs Rays Prediction
- Guardians vs Rays Pick: Over 7.5 (-118)
Our Guardians vs Rays best bet is Over 7.5 total runs in this game. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Guardians vs Rays Odds
| Guardians Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -190 | 7.5 -118o / -102u | +110 |
| Rays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +155 | 7.5 -118o / -102u | -135 |
- Guardians vs Rays moneyline: Guardians +110, Rays -135
- Guardians vs Rays over/under: 7.5 (-118o / -102u)
- Guardians vs Rays spread: Guardians +1.5 (-190), Rays -1.5 (+155)
Guardians vs Rays Probable Pitchers
| Tanner Bibee (RHP, CLE) | Stat | Nick Martinez (RHP, TB) |
|---|---|---|
| 4-9 | W-L | 9-2 |
| 0.8 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.9 |
| 3.86 / 4.50 | ERA / xERA | 2.59 / 4.60 |
| 4.68 / 4.33 | FIP / xFIP | 3.89 / 4.71 |
| 11.8 | K-BB% | 9.3 |
| 39.2 | GB% | 35.3 |
| .246 | BABIP | .264 |
| 104 | Stuff+ | 99 |
| 101 | Location+ | 105 |
Guardians vs Rays MLB Betting Preview
Our own Sean Zerillo projects an edge on the total for this matchup.
While the consensus line sits at 7.5, Zerillo projects around 8.37 runs for this game, representing a 2.9% edge against the market, making the over the best choice with a C+ grade on our system.
Also, the number of bets and percentage of money show increasing support for this option heading into today's first pitch.
As a reminder, you can see all of Zerillo's MLB game projections with an Action PRO Subscription. Find his projected lines every day on the PRO Projections tab.
Guardians vs Rays Pick, Betting Analysis
Not only are these teams coming off a 14-run game last night, but both lineups have been on fire recently.
The Rays are the fifth-best offense in wRC+ this season with a 106 rating, but are third in the past seven days with 139.
Meanwhile, the Guardians rank fifth in wRC+ over the last 14 days with a 119 rating.
Also, both starters are candidates for regression, as their expected metrics are way worse than their actual numbers.
Nick Martinez is the best example with an xERA of 4.60 compared to his current 2.59 ERA.
The Rays bullpen might not help either, as they hold a 4.45 ERA over their last 10 games, having surrendered 13 home runs.
Pick: Over 7.5 (-118, BetMGM)
