Yankees vs. Rays Odds, Sharp Pick: How Pros Are Betting ALDS Game 5 (Oct. 9)

Yankees vs. Rays Odds, Sharp Pick: How Pros Are Betting ALDS Game 5 (Oct. 9) article feature image
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Alex Trautwig/MLB Photos via Getty Images. Pictured: Tyler Glasnow

Yankees vs. Rays Game 5 Odds

Yankees Odds -160
Rays Odds +135
Over/Under 7.5 (+100/-120)
First Pitch 7:10 p.m. ET
TV TBS

Check out our new MLB PRO Report, where we highlight key factors that provide betting edges — like large wagers, historically profitable betting systems, model projections and expert picks — that when combined with sharp money can powerfully detail the smartest bets on a given slate.


For the first time all series, last night’s Yankees-Rays ALDS matchup did not end with at least 12 runs scored. As such, it was also the first time that the under hit all series.

For most bettors, though, the 5-1 final score in Game 4 wasn’t enough to attract an under bet in tonight’s series-decider. In fact, 82% of bets have landed on the over as of the mid-afternoon.

Perhaps that’s because tonight’s Gerrit Cole-Tyler Glasnow matchup has led to an over/under of just 7.5 …

But while the public may be all over the over, our PRO Report suggests that sharps are feeling otherwise. And a PRO System match indicates that history is on their side. Let’s take a look.

Data as of 3 p.m. ET. For immediate access to our MLB PRO Report, start a Free Trial today! You’ll also get:

  • Pro Betting Systems: historically profitable betting trends and angles built on millions of data points.
  • Line Move Predictions: know when a line will move — before it happens.
  • Live Public Betting Data: see where the real money is going for every game.

Yankees vs. Rays PRO Report

Our sharp action indicators — as well as the discrepancy between bets and dollars — reveal a professional opinion on this under, which is backed by one of our PRO betting systems.

[Try PRO for FREE to see how sharps are betting the rest of Friday’s action, including Game 5 of The Finals and Louisville vs. Georgia Tech.]

Sharp Action

Per Sports Insights Bet Signals, which track and record instances of market movement caused by sharp action, five waves of pro money have hit the under in this game, giving a clear sharp edge to the under.

Sharp Action edge: Under

Big Money

As mentioned, 82% of bettors have landed on the over in this game. But those bets have generated just 62% of actual money landing on the total.

That means bigger bettors — the ones more likely to be sharps — are taking the under, further strengthening the indication of professional activity.

Big Money edge: Under

PRO Systems

Thanks to the public’s heavy backing of the over, the under is now in a spot that’s been profitable over the years, so much so that it’s become one of our PRO betting systems.

Since 2005, when 65% or more bettors take the over in a game between winning teams, the under has a 55.1% win rate on a sample of more than 2,600 games.

PRO Systems edge: Under


Try PRO for FREE to see how sharps are betting the rest of Friday’s action, including Game 5 of The Finals and Louisville vs. Georgia Tech.

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