Imanol Rodriguez vs Alden Coria Odds
| Rodriguez Odds | -142 |
| Coria Odds | +120 |
| Over/Under | 2.5 (-160/+124) |
| Location | Delta Center, Salt Lake City, Utah |
| Bout Time | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV/Streaming | Paramount+ |
| UFC 332 odds as of Friday and via DraftKings. Bet on UFC 332 with our DraftKings promo code. | |
Check out the Imanol Rodriguez vs Alden Coria prediction for UFC 332 on Saturday, October 3, along with my betting preview and breakdown.
Here's my Rodriguez vs. Coria pick and prediction.
Tale of the Tape
| Rodriguez | Coria | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 7-0 | 13-3-0 (1 NC) |
| Avg. Fight Time | 5:47 | 13:36 |
| Height | 5'4" | 5'8" |
| Weight (pounds) | 125 lbs. | 125 lbs. |
| Reach (inches) | 64" | 67" |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Date of birth | 11/15/1999 | 04/24/1998 |
| Sig Strikes Per Min | 5.71 | 4.05 |
| SS Accuracy | 55% | 41% |
| SS Absorbed Per Min | 2.42 | 2.21 |
| SS Defense | 58% | 69% |
| Take Down Avg | 1.30 | 2.21 |
| TD Acc | 33% | 54% |
| TD Def | 0% | 56% |
| Submission Avg | 0.0 | 1.5 |
Rodriguez vs. Coria Pick, Prediction
This is a matchup between two extremely talented flyweight prospects; Rodriguez is the better wrestler, but I view Coria as both the better striker and the more durable athlete, and he's also the bigger man (4" taller, 3" reach advantage) with better power.
I projected a small edge on Coria when his moneyline was closer to +135, but now that it has dropped to +115, I'm in alignment with the market for this fight.
I do still project a pre-fight edge on Coria by KO/TKO (projected +566, listed +800) or inside the distance (projected +398, listed +500), and I'd consider a small play on his finish props; Rodriguez was lucky to survive getting hurt twice by Kevin Borjas, and Coria was similarly unlucky in failing to finish Stewart Nicoll.
Rodriguez might have early wrestling success, but I expect Coria to defend those takedowns more readily as the fight extends, and Rodriguez loses energy.y
Coria trains full time with Joshua Van, and he follows a similar pacing in his fights: concentrating on anti-grappling early before pouring on the pace as he gets a feel for his opponent; that style should lend itself well to fighting at altitude, too.
Take Coria to finish pre-fight, in addition to his point spread (+3.5, -140) and look to bet him live after Round 1.
Zerillo's Picks:
- Alden Coria +3.5 Points (-130, 0.25u; Caesars)
- Alden Coria wins Inside the Distance (+500, 0.1u; FanDuel)
- Alden Coria Live after Round 1
