Marvin Vettori vs Ismail Naurdiev Odds
Check out the Marvin Vettori vs Ismail Naurdiev prediction for UFC 332 on Saturday, October 3, along with my trading preview and breakdown.
Here's my Vettori vs. Naurdiev pick and prediction.
Tale of the Tape
| Vettori | Naurdiev | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 19-10-1 | 25-8 |
| Avg. Fight Time | 17:09 | 13:04 |
| Height | 6'0" | 5'10" |
| Weight (pounds) | 185 lbs. | 185 lbs. |
| Reach (inches) | 74" | 74" |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Date of birth | 09/20/1993 | 08/18/1996 |
| Sig Strikes Per Min | 4.74 | 3.66 |
| SS Accuracy | 45% | 52% |
| SS Absorbed Per Min | 4.55 | 1.75 |
| SS Defense | 56% | 64% |
| Take Down Avg | 1.41 | 1.48 |
| TD Acc | 43% | 40% |
| TD Def | 68% | 73% |
| Submission Avg | 0.4 | 0.2 |
Vettori vs. Naurdiev Pick, Prediction
Marvin Vettori enters Saturday's contest on a four-fight losing streak, with a 2-6 record in his past eight bouts, and looks increasingly slower and less interested in each outing.
"The Italian Dream" has always been well-rounded and exceedingly durable but has never defended strikes well during his career (56% striking defense), and perhaps that attritional damage is catching up to his athleticism in his mid-thirties.
Ismail Naurdiev is the younger, more dynamic athlete, and the market has pushed him nearly five percent in implied probability, from a -120 favorite at open closer to -145 as of writing.
My model agrees with the steam, projecting Naurdiev as a heavy favorite.
I also project an edge on Naurdiev by decision, but I prefer his moneyline.
Zerillo's Trade:
- Ismail Naurdiev (56 cents, 0.5u; Kalshi)
