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Michel Pereira vs. Andre Fialho Betting Odds, UFC 270 Pick & Prediction: Does Either Fighter Hold More Value?

Michel Pereira vs. Andre Fialho Betting Odds, UFC 270 Pick & Prediction: Does Either Fighter Hold More Value? article feature image
Credit:

Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC. Pictured (L-R): UFC opponents Michel Pereira and Andre Fialho.

  • Unorthodox and highly entertaining Welterweight, Michel Pereira, will get his oppotunity on the big stage when he faces Andre Fialho on the main card at UFC 270.
  • Pereira is -280 on the moneyline and riding a three-fight win streak into Saturday's scrap.
  • Is he worth the price? Sean Zerillo looks at both sides and breaks down the fight below.

Michel Pereira vs. Andre Fialho Odds

Pereira Odds
-280
Fialho Odds
+225
Over/Under
2.5 (+110 / -140)
Venue
Honda Center, Anaheim, CA
Time
Approx. 11 p.m. ET
Channel
ESPN PPV
Odds as of Friday and via DraftKings.

Welterweights Michel Pereira and Andre Fialho will meet on the Pay-Per-View main card at UFC 270 after their fight was pushed back a week due to COVID.

Pereira, one of the most unique fighters in the UFC, will look to maintain his three-fight win streak against a newcomer to the promotion on Saturday night.

Below I preview how these fighters stack up and whether either side has betting value in this matchup. For more analysis on the rest of the card, you can check out my projections for the entire slate here.

Tale of the Tape

Pereira Fialho
Record 26-11 (2 NC) 14-3 (1 NC)
Avg. Fight Time 12:26 0:0
Height 6’1″ 6’0″
Weight (pounds) 170 lbs. 170 lbs.
Reach (inches) 73″ 74″
Stance Orthodox Orthodox
Date of birth 10/6/93 4/7/94
Sig Strikes Per Min 4.22 0.0
SS Accuracy 55% 0%
SS Absorbed Per Min 3.28 0.00
SS Defense 58% 0%
Take Down Avg 2.01 0.0
TD Acc 62% 0%
TD Def 100% 0%
Submission Avg 0.8 0.0

The featured bout at UFC 270 is one of the few spots I don’t have a strong read on for Saturday’s card.

Pereira has skills everywhere, and he is a massive welterweight to boot, but he’s also a wild character who does some bizarre stuff in the octagon:

Michel Pereira: back in action this weekend #UFC270 pic.twitter.com/P123ghhn0k

— Spinnin Backfist (@SpinninBackfist) January 20, 2022

That should have been a point deduction for the kick to the head of a downed opponent, by the way.

Pereira was initially supposed to face exciting striker Muslim Salikhov in this bout, but the Portuguese debutant, Fialho, will step in as a late-notice replacement instead.

Fialho has faced multiple UFC veterans and other high-caliber competition overseas and has shown considerable knockout power. Still, Pereira should be the more durable man if these two decide to brawl, and he likely has a more straightforward path to victory on the mat.

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Pereira vs. Fialho Pick

I don’t project actionable value on either side of the moneylines or the total for this fight, nor do I show value in any winning method props.

As a result, I’m going to pass on betting this bout, but I’ll undoubtedly be using Pereira and Fialho in DFS lineups. For my pick on the next fight between Brandon Moreno and Deiveson Figueiredo, click here.

The Pick: No Bet

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