NASCAR returns to Bristol Motor Speedway on Saturday for one of my favorite races of the year: the Bass Pro Shops Night Race (7:30 p.m. ET, USA).
The dominant storyline for teams, drivers and even bettors will be whether or not there will be significant tire wear in tonight's race.
Goodyear is bringing a softer right-side tire for this event in an attempt to accelerate tire wear and put more emphasis on drivers to "save their stuff" and increase passing.
Unfortunately, from what we learned at Bristol in the spring, it's tough to predict just how significantly tires will wear until the race itself.
With that said, drivers and teams did not see much falloff during Friday's practice sessions, so the expectation is that tire wear won't be much of an issue tonight.
Now that we have data to examine, I'm betting on two outright winners for Bristol, as well as a live +2700 long-shot pick to score a surprising top-1o finish.
NASCAR Odds, 3 Best Bet Picks for Bristol
*Odds as of Saturday morning
NASCAR odds from BetMGM show Kyle Larson as the race favorite at bet365 with +300 odds, followed by Ryan Blaney (+350), Denny Hamlin (+450), Christopher Bell (+100) and William Byron (+1300).
My first bet comes from this group of favorites
