NASCAR Odds, Picks & Predictions for Daytona: A 60-1 Prop to Bet for Friday’s XFINITY Series Race
Photo by Mike Mulholland/Getty Images. Pictured: NASCAR XFINITY Series driver Blaine Perkins
I have many guilty pleasures in my life: Tom Cruise movies, Machine Gun Kelly’s music (his punk pop music, that is) and any sort of pizza product served at Taco Bell, to name a few.
When it comes to sports betting specifically, I just can’t seem to quit NASCAR XFINITY Series longshots at superspeedways.
So with the series at Daytona on Friday night and my thirst for longshot value eating away at me, I’m scratching that itch with one driver to score a top-five finish at 60-1 odds.
NASCAR Pick for Daytona
*Odds as of Monday night
While pack racing at superspeedways can bridge the gap between good and bad equipment, it obviously helps for a driver to have as good of a race car as possible.
And it appears oddsmakers are unaware of a key driver change at Our Motorsports.
The No. 02 car, which had been previously driven by Brett Moffitt, was recently taken over by Blaine Perkins.
This is an important note for two reasons.
First, Our Motorsports provides much better than back-marker equipment, which is essentially what Perkins is priced at based on his 500-1 odds at DraftKings.
For example, the two other Our Motorsports drivers, Anthony Alfredo and Jeb Burton, are much shorter at 50-1.
And second, Perkins actually has XFINITY Series superspeedway experience with this team.
At Talladega last fall, Perkins drove the No. 23 car for Our Motorsports and performed quite well.
In that race, Perkins finished ninth in Stage 1, won stage 2 and ended up 13th.
A driver who was good enough to win a stage at Talladega, and in the same equipment no less, should not be 500-1 to win at Daytona.
Please note I’m not taking Perkins to win, but instead prefer the 60-1 price for a top-five finish to give us a little wiggle room.
Am I calling that Perkins will be a top-five car in the race? Absolutely not.
But based on the quality of his car and his performance at Talladega last fall, I believe he has a better chance to finish in the top five than the 1.64% probability his 60-1 odds imply.