NASCAR Props Challenge Picks for Sunday’s Foxwoods Resort Casino 301

NASCAR Props Challenge Picks for Sunday’s Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 article feature image

Brian Fluharty-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series driver Kyle Busch (18) leads Kyle Larson (42)

  • NASCAR's Props Challenge game asks fans to answer 10 prop-betting questions each week, with weekly winners eligible for prizes.
  • PJ Walsh offers his Props Challenge picks and analysis for Sunday's Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 (3 p.m. ET, NBCSN) at New Hampshire Motor Speedway.

For the first time since visiting Richmond in April, the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series (MENCS) returns to a flat track of one mile or less at New Hampshire Motor Speedway.

To make this weekend’s NASCAR Props Challenge picks, we’ll lean on historical results from New Hampshire, as well as performance from Phoenix and Richmond — two flat tracks — earlier this season.

1. Will Chevrolet win for the fourth straight weekend? Yes or No?

Based on odds from the Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas, Chevy’s top driver is Chase Elliott at 14-1 to win the race, which ranks just seventh overall.

Pick: No

2. O/U 3.5 drivers score 45 points or more?

Since stage racing was introduced in the MENCS, New Hampshire races have averaged five drivers scoring at least 45 race points.

Pick: Over

3. Which driver scores the better finish: Erik Jones or Daniel Suarez?

The key metrics between these two drivers are very close both at New Hampshire in recent years and at flat tracks this season, with Suarez owning the very slightest of edges in performance.

Pick: Suarez

4. O/U 138.5 total points for Hendrick Motorsports?

This breaks down to an average of 34.6 points per driver for the four-car team to reach 138.5 total points. That’s a tall task for a team that hasn’t performed well at the flat tracks this season.

Pick: Under

5. Kyle Larson’s career average finish at New Hampshire its 10.7. Does he finish in the top 10? Yes or No?

While Larson’s numbers at New Hampshire have been really good over the last few races, the Chip Ganassi Racing driver has really struggled at the flats this year.

In addition, 11 drivers have better odds to win Sunday’s race than Larson (30-1).

Pick: No

6. O/U 107.5 MPH average race speed?

Two of the three races at New Hampshire with stage breaks have finished with an average race speed of over 107.5 mph. While the sample is miniscule, it’s all we have.

Pick: Over

7. Will Sunday’s pole sitter win the first stage? Yes or No?

A pole sitter has yet to win the first stage in a MENCS race at New Hampshire, so this is an easy no.

Answer: No

8. O/U 12.5 stage points for Chase Elliott?

Chase has really struggled at the flat tracks this season, ranking just 18th in average running position at Phoenix and Richmond while leading exactly zero laps.

Pick: Under

9. Will the Stage 2 winner on Sunday go on to win the race? Yes or No?

A Stage 2 winner has yet to take the checkered flag in any New Hampshire MENCS event with stage racing. In fact, a driver who won Stage 2 has yet to score even a top-five finish.

Pick: No

10. O/U 10.5 lead changes

This question is really tough. Six of the last 10 Cup races at New Hampshire have gone over, while the other four have gone under. I don’t have much confidence in this answer, but I’ll take over based on those numbers.

Pick: Over

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