Spurs vs. Timberwolves Odds & Betting Predictions - May 16, 2026

Spurs at Timberwolves

1:30 am • Amazon Prime Video
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Spurs at Timberwolves Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Spurs
3-2
-4.5
-5.5-110
o218.5-110
-220
Timberwolves
2-3
u217.5
+5.5-110
u218.5-113
+180
location pinSaturday 1:30 a.m.
May 16, 2026
Target CenterMinneapolis
Spurs vs. Timberwolves Expert Picks
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
Last 30d: 40-43-0 (-10.3u)
J.McDaniels To Make 3+ Threes Yes+425
0.25u
J.McDaniels o1.5 3pt M+155
0.5u
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 94-87-0 (+39.7u)
MIN +5.5+102
3u
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 77-108-1 (+26.2u)
D.Harper o14.5 Pts+Rebs-126
1u
The Spurs look to close out the series tonight against the Wolves and I’m targeting Harper here. There has been a lot of chatter about San Antonio wanting to give him more minutes, but even at his current average of 25 minutes per game—which is right in line with his season average—he is smashing this line. Harper has gone over this PR total in four of the five games this series. The specific angle I love here is the rebounding ceiling. His standard rebound line is 3.5, but it’s juiced a bit high for my liking, which is why I’m targeting the PR combo. Hi rebound log this series is great: 4, 7, 4, 7, and 10. He’s not just getting lucky; he’s active. Last game, he had 10 rebounds on 13 chances, and the game before that he had seven boards on nine chances. When we consider that Gobert is becoming less and less playable, this opens up the interior more as well. Harper has floor and ceiling in both points and rebounds, so combining them here is solid.
Ryan Minion
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 346-386-13 (+18.6u)
SAS +360
$1.00
#NOTE Spurs ‘4-2’ (Exact Series Score LIVE bet after losing G1
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 53-50-0 (+1.1u)
D.Fox o16.5 Pts-115
0.58u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 262-357-20 (-6.1u)
J.Champagnie u5.5 Rebs-110
0.53u
#EV 3.82% FV -119
Ryan Minion
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 346-386-13 (+18.6u)
V.Wembanyama o13.5 Rebs-110
$1.10
V.Wembanyama o26.5 Pts-125
$1.25
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 53-50-0 (+1.1u)
A.Edwards o5.5 Rebs-120
0.6u
Brandon Kravitz
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 70-93-3 (-20.3u)
V.Wembanyama o14.5 Rebs+145
0.69u
Ryan Minion
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 346-386-13 (+18.6u)
SAS -2.5-150
$1.50
#Alt #GoSpurs 💥
OldSchool0909
Last 30d: 101-129-0 (-9.6u)
MIN +4.5+104
1u
Ryan Minion
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 346-386-13 (+18.6u)
SAS -182
$3.00
#GoSpurs 💥💥
SAS -4.5-115
$1.15
SAS -182
$1.82
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
Last 30d: 40-43-0 (-10.3u)
D.Harper o10.5 Pts-114
1.14u
J.McDaniels o20.5 Pts+Rebs-114
1.14u

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Spurs vs. Timberwolves Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Spurs

Public

79%

Bets%

21%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Timberwolves
37-4518-2319-2226-3411-11
Spurs
46-35-222-17-124-18-133-29-213-6

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Timberwolves
38-4414-2724-1726-3412-10
Spurs
36-46-118-2218-24-129-34-17-12

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Timberwolves
6-5N/AN/A41-198-14
Spurs
7-3N/AN/A50-1412-7

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
May 13th@SASL 97-126+10.5 LO 218.5SAS +325
May 10thSASW 114-109+5.5 WO 218.5MIN +165
May 9thSASL 108-115+5.5 LO 216.5SAS +180
May 7th@SASL 95-133+10.5 LO 217.5SAS +325
May 5th@SASW 104-102+10.5 WU 218.5MIN +325

Timberwolves vs. Spurs Injury Updates

Timberwolves Injuries

    Spurs Injuries

    • Victor Wembanyama
      C

      Wembanyama is questionable with concussion

      Questionable

    • David Jones Garcia
      SF

      Jones Garcia is out with ankle

      Out

    • Dylan Harper
      PG

      Dylan Harper (knee) questionable Tuesday.

      Questionable

    Player Stats
    • scoring
      Anthony Edwards logo
      Anthony Edwards
      28.8
      ppg
    • rebounding
      Rudy Gobert logo
      Rudy Gobert
      11.5
      rpg
    • assists
      Julius Randle logo
      Julius Randle
      5
      apg
    • shooting
      Zyon Pullin logo
      Zyon Pullin
      69.2
      fg%
    Team Stats
    43-89 (48%)
    Field Goals
    42-88 (48%)
    19-24 (79%)
    Free Throws
    19-25 (76%)
    13-37 (35%)
    3P
    13-37 (35%)
    47.02
    Rebounds
    44.09
    28.1
    Assists
    26.1
    12.65
    Turnovers
    14.12
    7.52
    Steals
    8.74
    5.45
    Blocks
    5.8
    18.85
    Fouls
    21.2

    Spurs vs. Timberwolves Odds Comparison

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    Spurs at Timberwolves Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Spurs
    3-2
    N/A
    N/A
    Timberwolves
    2-3
    N/A
    N/A