The case for Warriors (-12.5) in Game 1
This number just feels astronomical. It’s such an absurdly high line for a Finals game, and yet Golden State’s margin of victory at home is 16.3. The Rockets are a decidedly better team than the Cavs, and even they couldn’t duck getting blown out twice at Oracle. Oh, and the Cavs have a Net Rating of -5.6 on the road in these playoffs.
So, yeah, laying the 12.5 isn’t extreme.