Game 1 Trends: Betting On Underdog LeBron Has Historically Been Profitable

May 31, 2018 11:40 PM EDT
Credit:

David Richard-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: LeBron James

The Action Network analysts John Ewing and Evan Abrams comb the Bet Labs database each day to bring you profitable trends for the slate. Here are notable historical trends for Cavs-Warriors Game 1.

Cleveland is +700 on the moneyline in Game 1. This will be the 60th playoff game since 2005 to feature a team as an underdog of +700 or greater. Of the previous 59 teams, only five (8.5%) won outright. That matches the win rate from the regular season of big underdogs (103-1172, 8.1%).


In games that LeBron has played, his teams have been underdogs of +700 or greater only once. That single instance was in Game 5 of the second round of the 2006 playoffs against the Detroit Pistons. LeBron was +900. The Cavs won outright.


When LeBron has been an underdog of more than three points in the playoffs, his teams have gone 17-26 straight-up and 25-18 ATS.

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