Clippers vs. Warriors Game 2 Betting Preview: Historical Trends Point Toward the Under

Clippers vs. Warriors Game 2 Betting Preview: Historical Trends Point Toward the Under article feature image

Photo credit: Jesse Johnson-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Kevin Durant

Game 2 Betting Odds: LA Clippers at Golden State Warriors

  • Spread: Warriors -13.5
  • Over/Under: 234.5
  • Time: 10:30 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: TNT

>> All odds as of 2:30 p.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time odds and live win probabilities on your bets.

The two-time defending champs blew out the Clippers in Game 1 and are now listed at -13.5 for Game 2. Will they cover another big number? Our analysts dive into that plus much more.

Betting Trends to Know

Did you know? The Warriors led the NBA with 29.4 assists per game this season, which has been a staple of their reign under Steve Kerr. In Game 1 against the Clippers, the Warriors had 31 assists and covered the lofty 13.5-point spread. Under Kerr, the Warriors are 17-0 straight-up and 11-6 against-the-spread (ATS) when they record 30 assists or more in the playoffs. – Evan Abrams

The Warriors opened as 14-point favorites in Game 2. Golden State is 9-13 ATS under Steve Kerr as a double-digit favorite during the postseason. All other favorites of 10 or more points in the NBA Playoffs have gone 50-35-3 ATS since 2005. Of course, the Dubs managed to cover as 13.5-point favorites in Game 1. – John Ewing

The Warriors-Clippers’ over/under opened at 230. This is just the seventh playoff game since 2005 to have a total of 230 or more points. The under went 5-1 in the previous six games, hitting by 11.8 points per game. – Ewing

Locky: How I’m Handicapping Tonight’s Game

Is there any prop listed for number of altercations between Clippers and officials during Game 2? The constant cutaway shots of the players and coaches just laying into each referee during stoppages were almost as enjoyable as Game 1 itself.

The Warriors will frequently give away a game in a first-round series once they’re comfortable, but that always occurs on the road, not in front of the Oracle crowd. In their last four first-round series (so about the length of this current incredible era), here were the Games 1 and 2 margins of victory at home:

  • 2015: +7 and +10
  • 2016: +26 and +9
  • 2017: +12 and +29
  • 2018: +21 and +15

Games 3 and 4 are a different story: One is basically always close, or they lose — because, as we’ve seen many times, this is a team that is so great they can’t be bothered to maintain an edge consistently for a long time. But that’s OK. This number is enormous, and it is the correct amount of enormous for me. No letdown as far as I’m concerned; I’ll pass. — Ken Barkley

Moore: Why I’m Staying Away Tonight

I don’t even want to think about this series. I skipped watching it entirely, knowing there’s nothing really to learn about either team here. The Clippers are outgunned, and the Warriors aren’t challenged.

The value is on the Warriors, but you’re just asking for trouble with that kind of line and a Warriors bench that could easily surrender the backdoor cover. The Clippers hung until the very end of that game. I’m biding my time for the Game 4 letdown after a weekend in L.A., and, other than that, this series can get gone.

That said, with the under trend in these playoffs and a total tonight of 234.5, you’d think the under was attractive. However, a caveat: The over with Golden State at home in the Durant era in the playoffs is 6-1. Mixed signals? Once again, stay away. – Matt Moore

Editor’s note: The opinions on this game are from the individual writers and are based on their research, analysis and perspective. They are independent of, and may not always match with, the algorithm-driven Best Bets from Sports Insights.

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