The Spurs clawed their way back into this series with a 115-111 road victory to trim New York's margin to a 2-1 advantage. San Antonio's Victor Wembanyama had an efficient night with a team-high 32 points on 11-of-18 shooting while also knocking down three 3-pointers.
While the Spurs have been competitive in each game, their tendency to wilt under pressure in the clutch minutes was a growing concern. However, that wasn't the case in Game 3, as San Antonio never trailed at any point in the fourth quarter.
Game 4 will likely bring about some adjustments, but our approach for this preview won't necessarily be to break down these individual matchups. Instead, we'll seek to highlight players that offer the best value in the DraftKings Game Leaders market.
Let's dive into my NBA game leader props for Spurs vs. Knicks Game 4 on Wednesday, June 10.
NBA Game Leader Props for Wednesday, June 10
- Points Leader: OG Anunoby (+1680) / Karl-Anthony Towns (+1760)
- 3-Point Leader: Devin Vassell (+453) / Julian Champagnie (+554)
NBA Finals Game 4 Points Leader: OG Anunoby / Karl-Anthony Towns
Wembanyama and New York's Jalen Brunson continue to lead their teams in scoring as both players tied for a game-high with 32 points.
Brunson wasn't nearly as efficient, considering he had to take 25 shot attempts to match Wembanyama in scoring.
In comparison, New York's second-leading scorer during the regular season, Karl-Anthony Towns, managed only 10 shot attempts.
Despite averaging 27.3 points in the series, Brunson is shooting just 37% from the floor and has as many turnovers (13) as he does assists.
While Brunson and Wembanyama are the only two players to finish with the most points in a game, it wouldn't surprise me if we see the Knicks try to get other players more involved for Game 4.
At some point, the Knicks have to get Towns going again. He's simply too good a player to finish with just 11 points on the night.
His +1760 odds for most points certainly caught my attention, as my model projects his price should be closer to +1900.
Another long shot to keep an eye on is OG Anunoby at +1680. After all, he had the third-highest point total in Game 3 with 28.
Anunoby is the Knicks' second-leading scorer in the postseason, behind Brunson, with 19.9 points per game.
My model simulations give him a higher chance (10%) of finishing with the most points than his implied value of 4.6%.
With Brunson priced at +109 and Wembanyama at +138, this is one spot where you'd want to try to beat the favorites rather than back them.
Pick: Points Leader: OG Anunoby (+1680) / Karl-Anthony Towns (+1760)
NBA Finals Game 4 Three-Point Leader: Devin Vassell / Julian Champagnie
The 3-point market seems much more competitive with the favorite, Devin Vassell, priced at +453.
However, odds in the 5-to-1 range still represent a decent enough return on a ticket.
Vassell is shooting 41.2% from distance in this series and posted back-to-back games, hitting three 3-pointers.
My model simulations give him a 16.8% chance to finish with the most 3-pointers, which is slightly higher than his implied value of 14%.
Vassell's teammate, Julian Champagnie, has odds of +554. Champagnie also had three 3-pointers in Game 3 and had a game-high of five in the series opener.
The Spurs have shown more perimeter aggression than the Knicks in this series, attempting 37.0 per game vs. 35.3 and making 13.0 per game vs. 11.3.
You could argue that San Antonio is the likeliest of the two teams to have better spacing because Wembanyama can operate on his own inside the paint and still provide a viable threat for rebounds without much help from his teammates.
As a result, there's a decent chance the 3-point leader will be a Spurs player, and yet we were still able to get two viable candidates at no worse than 4.5-to-1 odds.
Pick: Most 3-Pointers: Devin Vassell (+453) / Julian Champagnie (+554)
