Game 4 of the NBA Finals will take center stage this Wednesday — and our NBA betting expert Prop Bomb has locked in his top player prop bet for tonight's matchup between the New York Knicks and San Antonio Spurs.
Let's dive into our NBA Finals player prop bet for Karl-Anthony Towns in Spurs vs. Knicks Game 4 on Wednesday, June 10.
NBA Finals Player Prop Bet for Wednesday, June 10
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 8:30 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Spurs vs. Knicks Game 4 Player Prop Bet
Karl-Anthony Towns Under 21.5 Points & Assists (-112)
Being down 0-2, San Antonio finally cracked the Knicks in Game 3, and everybody around the league seems to agree on how New York should adjust: get Karl-Anthony Towns going again.
KAT's Game 3 usage was a series-low 14%, his assists fell from a 5.4 playoff average to one, so it's the right instinct.
It's also the one thing the Spurs have spent this series making impossible and will continue to mute, which is why I’ll need to see it rather than believe it.
Looking back, Towns built his first two games by bullying bigs. Eight of his first 10 points in Game 1 came from blowing past slower defenders like Luke Kornet for buckets in the paint, and more than 50% of his 21 points in Game 2 came the same way.
So, the Spurs made the obvious adjustment in Game 3 and put a wing on him from the opening tip.
Castle drew the matchup against him the most (16.9 possessions), plus Keldon Johnson wrestling for possession, with Wembanyama hanging behind to wall off anything that leaked through. A wing doesn't get blown by, so the engine stalled.
Then, they got physical off the ball, leaning on Towns whenever he hunted a catch and mugging the screens meant to free him.
Since then, over his last 54 minutes, he's got 15 points on 14 shots and two assists.
The Spurs are making the easy-buckets difficult to get, and he's taking the shots that they are fine with giving up: six of 10 tries at the rim, both threes air-mailed from 25 feet, and a 0-for-4 fourth quarter.
I understand Mike Brown will draw something up, of course, get Towns to the nail, and tell him to rise over the smaller guys. But that's what makes the under attractive despite the obvious bounce-back narrative.
New York will make a concerted effort to feature Towns more in Game 4. The question is whether those touches come in advantageous spots.
Through three games, San Antonio has gradually pushed his catches farther from the basket, disrupted the screening actions that free him, and forced him into possessions that begin against a set defense.
Even if the scoring rebounds, the playmaking environment remains compromised. Even if the assists rebound, the scoring efficiency remains pressured.
The path to KAT clearing 21.5 points & assists requires both categories working together, and San Antonio spent the last game trying to separate them.
Pick: Karl-Anthony Towns Under 21.5 Points & Assists (-112)
