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NBA Picks, Props, Odds, Predictions for Friday, January 23

NBA Picks, Props, Odds, Predictions for Friday, January 23 article feature image
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Action Network/Imagn Images: Devin Booker, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jamal Murray, Jaylon Tyson

The NBA regular season is back in action with an excellent slate of games this Friday, with a total of eight matchups on the docket scheduled for today. So, our staff of basketball betting experts dug into the latest odds and identified NBA picks for five of tonight's matchups.

Continue below for our NBA picks, odds, props, and predictions for Friday, January 23.

NBA Picks, Odds, Props, Predictions: Friday, January 23

GameTime (ET)Pick
Sacramento Kings LogoCleveland Cavaliers Logo
7:30 p.m.
Phoenix Suns LogoAtlanta Hawks Logo
7:30 p.m.
Indiana Pacers LogoOklahoma City Thunder Logo
8 p.m.
Denver Nuggets LogoMilwaukee Bucks Logo
9:30 p.m.
Toronto Raptors LogoPortland Trail Blazers Logo
10 p.m.
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

Kings vs. Cavaliers

Sacramento Kings Logo
Friday, Jan.23
7:30 p.m. ET
NBA League Pass
Cleveland Cavaliers Logo
Jaylon Tyson 15+ Points (-130)
Fanatics Sportsbook Logo

By Joe Dellera

The Cavaliers face off against the Kings on Friday, and I’ll be targeting one of Cleveland's key role players.

This is a great spot for Jaylon Tyson against the Kings here, as the Cavs will be without both Garland and Merrill in this game.

Tyson sees a direct spike in usage and scoring without them, and he has exceeded this points line in 8-of-9 games without them — with the lone miss coming last game at 14.

In those nine games, he is averaging 21.1 and now draws a matchup against a Swiss cheese Kings’ defense. So, I’ll back Tyson on Friday.

Pick: Jaylon Tyson 15+ Points (-130)



Suns vs. Hawks

Phoenix Suns Logo
Friday, Jan.23
7:30 p.m. ET
NBA League Pass
Atlanta Hawks Logo
Suns Moneyline (-155)
bet365 Logo

By Bet Labs

This NBA system identifies profitable moneyline opportunities by fading home teams that are mildly hot but not dominant, especially during the heart of the season.

These situations occur when a team has recently won one or two games and returns home after a short road trip, creating inflated market confidence and public bias.

When those same teams were underdogs in their previous game, bettors often overreact to the perceived turnaround, driving prices beyond fair value.

Visiting teams benefit from this pricing inefficiency, as motivation and focus tend to be stronger for road squads facing temporarily overvalued opponents.

The effect is most pronounced in winter months when travel schedules and fatigue begin to normalize early season variance, allowing disciplined contrarian bettors to take advantage of short-term overperformance by home favorites.

NBA Icon
Evan Abrams – Fade Just Hot Home
the team is the Visitor team
the previous game the opponent was the Dog
the game is played during the Regular season
the opposing team's home/away streak is between 1 and 1 games
the opponent's Win/Loss streak is -1 or 1 or 2 games
the closing moneyline is between -205 and 100000
the game was played in November or January or December
$12,954
WON
843-1177-0
RECORD
42%
WIN%

Pick: Suns Moneyline (-155)



Playbook

Pacers vs. Thunder

Indiana Pacers Logo
Friday, Jan.23
8 p.m. ET
NBA League Pass
Oklahoma City Thunder Logo
Over 226.5 (-110)
bet365 Logo

By Bet Labs

This NBA system focuses on games where struggling road teams face stronger home opponents in non-conference matchups, creating favorable conditions for high scoring results.

When a poor road team with a low win rate meets a winning home team, defensive effort and intensity often dip for the visitor while the home side pushes the pace and controls offensive rhythm.

Non-conference games tend to feature looser defensive schemes and unfamiliar matchups, leading to faster scoring runs and less resistance in transition.

The data shows that when totals close above the 220 range and the line movement slightly favors the Over, the market correctly anticipates offensive efficiency rather than defensive pressure.

These situations consistently produce games where both teams exceed expectations, with the stronger home team dictating tempo and the weaker visitor contributing enough to push the total past the number.

NBA Icon
Evan Abrams – Bad Road Overs (V2)
the home team's win percentage is between 50% and 100%
the visitor team's win percentage is between 0% and 50%
the o/u change from open to close is between -1 and 100
the game is a Non-Conference game
betting on the Over
the game is played during the Regular season
the closing total is between 220 and 1000
$3,689
WON
314-254-5
RECORD
55%
WIN%

Pick: Over 226.5 (-110)



Nuggets vs. Bucks

Denver Nuggets Logo
Friday, Jan.23
9:30 p.m. ET
Amazon Prime Video
Milwaukee Bucks Logo
Nuggets +6.5 (-110)
bet365 Logo

By Bet Labs

This NBA system identifies teams that benefit from rest and situational inefficiencies in the betting market during the regular season.

It targets teams that have played frequently in recent days but have at least a single day off before the current game, facing opponents who have enjoyed multiple days of rest.

These matchups often create inflated spreads as the market overvalues the fresher opponent while undervaluing the rhythm and momentum of teams still in game shape.

The spread movement between open and close reflects that bettors typically chase the rested team, providing value on the other side.

By focusing on teams in the middle of a road stretch and leveraging modest line movement, this system captures the edge where fatigue perception exceeds its real impact, especially when both scheduling and market bias align.

NBA Icon
Evan Abrams – NBA Rest Factor
the spread change from open to close is between 0.5 and 7.5
the team’s home/away streak is between -8 and -2 games
the opposing team has had between 2 and 6 days off
the team has played beween 4 and 4 games in the last 6 Days
the team has had between 1 and 1 days off
the game is played during the Regular season
$2,666
WON
140-106-7
RECORD
57%
WIN%

Pick: Nuggets +6.5 (-110)



Raptors vs. Trail Blazers

Toronto Raptors Logo
Friday, Jan.23
10 p.m. ET
NBA League Pass
Portland Trail Blazers Logo
Trail Blazers +3.5 (-110)
bet365 Logo

By Brandon Kravitz

I'm back in on Portland after flip-flopping back and forth a few times since this line opened. Betting overnights in the NBA can be a roller coaster ride. So, strap in fellow sports bettors. This is my official play. We're riding this one out. Here's the handicap:

The Blazers are 11-4 ATS (73%) as home 'dogs. The fact that they are playing on the 2nd night of a back-to-back set shouldn't be an issue either, as they are a clean 7-1 ATS on no rest.

The Blazers faced a Heat team yesterday that can get up and down the floor and tire you out, but then in come the Raptors tonight, who move glacially slow.

The Blazers should be able to control the tempo at home on Friday night, especially against a Toronto team that is on the 4th game of a West Coast road trip.

Toronto has OKC on deck. So, this might be a sleepy spot for a Raptors team that’s won two straight.

Pick: Trail Blazers +3.5 (-110)



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