Nets vs. 76ers Game 2 Betting Preview: Is Brooklyn Still Undervalued After Game 1 Win?
Photo credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: D’Angelo Russell
Game 2 Betting Odds: Brooklyn Nets at Philadelphia 76ers
- Spread: 76ers -8
- Over/Under: 225.5
- Time: 8 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: TNT
>> All odds as of 2:30 p.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time odds and live win probabilities on your bets.
The Nets shocked the NBA world by not only covering on the road against the 76ers in Game 1, but winning outright by nine points. Can they do it again? Our analysts dive in.
Betting Trends to Know
The Nets defeated the Sixers as 7.5-point underdogs in Game 1. This season, the Nets have really excelled against-the-spread (ATS) the game after a straight-up win, as the market has tended to undervalue Brooklyn. This season, the Nets are 25-17 (59.5%) ATS the game after a straight-up win and 15-4 (78.9%) ATS the game after a straight-up win as an underdog. They’re the most-profitable team in the NBA in both spots. – Evan Abrams
Nearly 60% of spread tickets are on the Nets in Game 2. Favorites getting less than 50% of bets, like the 76ers, have gone 230-198-14 (54%) ATS since 2005 in the playoffs. Favorites getting less than 45% of bets have gone 141-107-7 (57%) ATS. – John Ewing
Locky: Why I’m Betting the Nets Again
I thought it was rare to see 3-point shooting as atrocious as Philadelphia’s in a playoff game, but then Thunder went out and did the exact same thing Sunday. Anyway, the Sixers absolutely could not have been worse from 3 in their Game 1 loss (3-for-25), but the problem is trying to parse out how much of Game 1 contained things that will regress (3-point shooting, J.J. Redick fouling out in limited minutes, etc.) and how much it contained things that will not (Joel Embiid playing only 24 minutes and the Nets attacking Redick frequently).
Also keep in mind that if you think the Sixers just couldn’t get an offensive break in Game 1 and they HAVE to play better, they did shoot 42 free throws (16 more than Brooklyn) and managed to completely squander that advantage. They also limited D’Angelo Russell to just 40% shooting from the field.
Although Russell can be a high-usage, yell-at-the-TV ISO player in certain spots, those are two themes that will ultimately NOT be able to be relied on long-term and should even out more as the series goes on. Those were BIG pro-Philly things in Game 1 that cannot be ignored.
This number closed Philly -7.5 in Game 1 when we knew Joel Embiid was playing, and it’s now clear his health concerns are completely legitimate. So now we KNOW Embiid is in rough shape, and this number is -8?
I liked Brooklyn in Game 1, I wrote about it, I bet them and they covered. I like them just as much here, until Embiid can transform himself into a remotely healthy player. Who are the Sixers ever blowing out in their current state and with a bench that thin? — Ken Barkley
Moore: My Thoughts on Tonight’s Game
I think this is a stay-away. I’m ready to fire away on Brooklyn when this gets back to the Borough, but I want to be a little cautious in this next one. No. 3 seeds are 3-3-1 after losing Game 1 ATS, and an inexperienced team like Brooklyn going for the road sweep is dangerous.
I’m with Ken that if there’s value, it’s on Brooklyn — I’m just not thrilled with the number. The public is on Brooklyn, but the money is coming in on Philadelphia. I love this matchup for the Nets: I took them on the series price before the series started, but I don’t want to grab single-digits in a potential bounce-back game, given that the Nets are a wide-variance team and that injuries like Embiid’s rob the Sixers of consistency, not ceiling. — Matt Moore
Editor’s note: The opinions on this game are from the individual writers and are based on their research, analysis and perspective. They are independent of, and may not always match with, the algorithm-driven Best Bets from Sports Insights.