The New York Knicks (8-5) and Dallas Mavericks (4-11) will face off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 9:30 p.m. EST from the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. The game will broadcast live on ESPN.
The Knicks are 7.5-point favorites over the Mavericks on the spread (Knicks -7.5), with the over/under set at 231.5 total points. New York is a -305 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Dallas is + 245 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Knicks vs. Mavericks predictions and NBA picks for Wednesday, November 19.
My Knicks vs Mavericks Prediction
- Knicks vs Mavericks pick: Mitchell Robinson Over 7.5 Rebounds (-140)
My Mavericks vs Knicks best bet is on Mitchell Robinson over 7.5 rebounds, with the best price currently available at DraftKings. But as always, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Knicks vs Mavericks Odds
| Knicks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-7.5 -105 | 231.5 -110o / -110u | -305 |
| Mavericks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+7.5 -115 | 231.5 -110o / -110u | +245 |
Knicks vs Mavericks NBA Preview
The Knicks are still in search of a road win.
In their defense, they've played most of their games at Madison Square Garden this season. But still, they're 0-4 on the road.
Dallas is the worst team the Knicks have seen on the road so far, as New York plays the second leg of a five-game road trip.
Overall, the Heat loss on Monday notwithstanding, they've looked as advertised — different, talented, flawed, and contenderish.
The Mavericks have not seen a bump since firing Nico Harrison last week. They're just 1-3 since. And Dallas, who is 4-11 this season, is just 3-7 at home.
Injury-wise, OG Anunoby (hamstring strain) is the only for sure absence out of the Orange and Blue.
Jalen Brunson has been listed as questionable after missing Monday's game due to an ankle sprain suffered this past Friday against the Heat.
Dallas will not have Anthony Davis (calf strain), Kyrie Irving (knee) and Dante Exum (knee), but Daniel Gafford and Dereck Lively are both probable.
Knicks vs Mavericks Prediction, Betting Analysis
Back to ol' faithful: Mitchell Robinson over 7.5 rebounds.
I'm just gonna keep playing this line regardless of who is out there. Dallas allows the second-most boards per 100 possessions.
Now, in their defense, they have both Lively and Gafford tonight. Lively has played only five times, Gafford just nine, and they've played together only twice this year.
The most similar rebounder they've played to Robinson was Donovan Clingan, who pulled down 11 in 28 minutes as Portland outrebounded Dallas 53-47.
Robinson is over 7.5 boards in five straight and has gotten 10 or more in three of five.
He still hasn't played 20 minutes this year, and you're hoping he stays out of foul trouble, but as long as he's out there for at least 15-18 minutes, he'll get within range.
Robinson has 40 offensive rebounds in 115 minutes — he's averaging one offensive rebound in just under every three minutes he plays.
He has 63 total boards, which gives him 0.55 boards per minute. Ridiculous.
Pick: Mitchell Robinson Over 7.5 Rebounds (-140) | 10+ Rebounds (+194)
Spread
I'm not betting either side of the spread in this game.
Moneyline
No play on the moneyline as well.
Over/Under
My Mavericks vs Knicks betting prediction is on Mitchell Robinson Over 7.5 Rebounds.
