Thunder-Rockets Christmas Betting Guide: Will James Harden and Co. Struggle to Score?

Dec 25, 2018 12:50 PM EST

Photo credits: USAToday Sports. Pictured: Paul George and James Harden

Betting odds: Oklahoma City Thunder at Houston Rockets

  • Spread: Thunder -1
  • Over/Under: 221
  • Time: 3 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: ABC

>> All odds as of 2:30 p.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NBA odds and track your bets

The 21-11 Oklahoma City Thunder will visit the 17-15 Houston Rockets in Christmas Day’s second game. The Rockets will be without Chris Paul, which, as noted below, could be problematic. Is there value on the Thunder at plus odds? What about the over/under? Our analysts dive in.

Notable Injuries

  • Oklahoma City Thunder: Nothing.
  • Houston Rockets: Chris Paul (hamstring) remains out.

Notable Stats

Betting Trends to Know

Chris Paul will miss at least two weeks with a hamstring injury. This season, the Rockets are 1-5 straight-up and against the spread, failing to cover by 10 points per game, when CP3 hasn’t played. — John Ewing

In their last game (Saturday), the Rockets beat the Spurs, 108-101, but really struggled shooting, going 37-95 (38.9%) from the field. Since 2005, teams to shoot under 40% from the field before playing on Christmas are 11-2 ATS (84.6%), covering the spread by 5.3 PPG.

Over the Rockets’ last two games, they have done a terrific job of protecting the ball, turning it over fewer than 10 times in both games. The Rockets have accomplished that feat (10 TO or less in consecutive games) only five times prior under Mike D’Antoni. The Rockets are 5-0 straight-up in their next game. — Evan Abrams