The Oklahoma City Thunder (31-7) and Memphis Grizzlies (16-21) will face off in the NBA on Friday night. Tipoff is set for 8:00 p.m. ET from FedExForum in Memphis, Tennessee. The game will broadcast live on NBA TV.
The Thunder are 4.5-point favorites over the Grizzlies on the spread (Thunder -4.5), with the over/under set at 231.5 total points. Oklahoma City is a 63-cent favorite to win outright, while Memphis is priced at 38 cents to pull off the upset on Fanatics Markets.
Let's get into my Thunder vs. Grizzlies predictions and NBA picks for Friday, January 9.
Thunder vs Grizzlies Prediction, Picks
- Thunder vs Grizzlies pick: Thunder to Win
My Grizzlies vs Thunder best bet is on the Thunder moneyline, with the best price currently available at Fanatics Markets. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Thunder vs Grizzlies Odds for Friday, Jan. 9
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies NBA Preview
Despite their recent struggles, Oklahoma City still holds the best overall record in the NBA (31-7) and on the road (13-4).
Even after "only" winning six of their past 10 games and with a bloated injury report for today, the Thunder are clear favorites against the Grizzlies.
Due to injuries, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams and Isaiah Hartenstein are out for OKC, while Memphis will miss Ja Morant (calf).
Our Bet Labs "Undervalued vs. Bad Defense" still recommends backing the Thunder to win, given the Grizzlies' defensive metrics and OKC's edge in this matchup.
Thunder vs Grizzlies Predictions, Analysis
This system identifies NBA regular season matchups where efficient but undervalued teams face opponents with poor defensive metrics.
When a team’s underlying performance indicators, such as Pythagorean strength, exceed public perception, the betting market often undervalues them against weak defensive opponents who allow high scoring efficiency.
These games typically feature modest moneylines that signal balance but overlook the defensive mismatch.
Slight movement toward the undervalued side reinforces that bettors are slowly recognizing the edge, yet the market remains mispriced.
Over recent seasons, this pattern has rewarded teams whose true performance levels are masked by variance while exploiting opponents that consistently fail to contain efficient offenses, creating a steady opportunity on the moneyline.
Grizzlies vs Thunder Best Bet
- Thunder to Win
Grizzlies vs Thunder Trends
For the latest on NBA injuries, be sure to check out our NBA Injury Report page.
