The Toronto Raptors (3-3) and Cleveland Cavaliers (3-3) will clash in Game 7 of their first-round NBA playoff series tonight. Tipoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET from Rocket Arena in Cleveland, Ohio. The game will broadcast live on NBC and Peacock.
The Cavaliers are 7.5-point favorites over the Raptors on the spread (Cavaliers -7.5), with the over/under set at 211.5 total points. Cleveland is a -295 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Toronto is +240 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Raptors vs. Cavaliers predictions and NBA picks for Game 7 on Sunday, May 3.
Raptors vs Cavaliers Prediction
- Raptors vs Cavaliers pick: Cavaliers -7.5 (-114)
My Raptors vs. Cavaliers Game 7 best bet is on Cleveland to cover the spread (-7.5). Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Raptors vs Cavaliers Odds for Game 7
| Raptors Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+7.5 -106 | 211.5 -110o / -110u | +240 |
| Cavaliers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-7.5 -114 | 211.5 -110o / -110u | -295 |
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Raptors vs Cavaliers NBA Playoffs Game 7 Preview
Toronto Raptors Betting Preview, Analysis
The Raptors' Game 6 win was inspiring, awesome, the stuff of legends — but the magic has likely run out for Toronto.
Teams that went down 3-2 and then forced another game are 11-28 SU and 19-20 ATS in Game 7s since 2003. That ATS number isn’t great, but teams that win as home favorites in this spot are 20-8 ATS. So, I expect Cleveland to win.
I originally bet the Raptors +2.5 and +1.5 on the series spread, and to win the series. I thought Toronto had a good chance of pushing Cleveland based on the matchup, and that has borne out.
However, the Cavaliers ultimately have a lot more weapons, and as much as Toronto has done to take them away, there have still been prime chances in the past two Raptors' wins for Cleveland to simply hold on — and they couldn’t, on the road.
Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Preview, Analysis
Evan Mobley was phenomenal in Game 6 (26 points, 14 rebounds), and getting a good game out of him is meaningful, even in the loss.
The biggest problem for the Cavaliers was the bench, which has been good at home, awful on the road, and won't need to play as much in a Game 7.
Don’t get me wrong, trusting this Cavaliers team is harrowing, given how soft they’ve been in tandem with James Harden being their No. 2 guy — plus, Kenny Atkinson has not been good in the playoffs.
However, the Raptors are getting by with three-pointers from Ja’Kobe Walter, big games from rookie Collin Murray-Boyles, and random big moments from Jamison Battle. It’s very narrow without Brandon Ingram, who is questionable.
Raptors vs Cavaliers Pick, Betting Analysis
Cavaliers -7.5
This series is likely going to go chalk with the home team winning every game.
Home favorites that win Game 7s outright cover the spread by an average of 7.9 points per game.
I’ll trust the Cavs, reluctantly, and just a little.
Over 211.5
Unders are typically the play in Game 7s, but both scripts favor the over.
If the Cavaliers win this game, and especially if they dominate, it’s because the Cavs’ offense gets back to work, hits shots, and Donovan Mitchell takes over, pushing the over up. There’s also a chance the Cavs get to the line a lot, which is free points in dead time.
If the Raptors win, they likely are getting timely threes from a team that has struggled to shoot all year. If Toronto pulls off the upset, they likely put up points. Four of the last six games in this series have gone over.
Jarrett Allen Under 7.5 Rebounds
Hat tip to Brandon Anderson for the find: Jarrett Allen has stayed under this mark in five of six games in this series.
Allen logged just 34 minutes in the last contest, and with his nagging injuries and the small-ball lineup the Raptors have been utilizing, his presence in this series has slowly diminished.
Dean Wade Over 0.5 Three-Pointers Made
I will also be betting on Dean Wade to make at least one three-pointer.
Wade has hit at least one three in every game in this series. He’s been terrific, and the Cavs keep sending him to the bench for inexplicable reasons.
He is reliable, and I expect him to get at least one three to drop in Game 7 today.
Matt Moore's Raptors vs Cavaliers Best Bets
- Cavaliers -7.5 (-114)
- Over 211.5 (-110)
- Jarrett Allen Under 7.5 Rebounds (-112)
- Dean Wade Over 0.5 Three-Pointers Made (-175)
